I always start building assasins early in the game, so at the later stages I have some high ranking ones. On my most recent Campaign (hard) I kept churning them out, and I must have built 10-12 in a 20 year periode. Then I use my fresh assains to kill Emisaries (83% chance of success) to build their valour. So far, so good, but the sad thing is that hardly anyone made it past the first assain attempt. The few who did died on their second or third. I always make sure my assins work "at home" to avoid any of the enemy border forts (though I build them in all my provices).
Now here comes the tricky bit. I lost 9 assains on a row on their first attempt, kill probability 83% ie chance of failure 17%. Now I might have spent my stats classes asleep, but the probability of this happening is 17%/9 = 1.89%
Am I just unlucky or what? [B]
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