Jeffektivno protivostojat' zapadnym tankam v nastupatel'nom boju T-14 «Armata» v nyneshnem vide ne v sostojanii, i zashhishhat'sja budet takzhe neprosto: BIUS i bortovoj radar ispol'zujut kuplennye na Zapade komponenty i mogut byt' vyvedeny iz stroja zapadnym jelektromagnitnym oruzhiem (electromagnetic pulse or EMP). Osleplennyj T-14 voevat' po starinke — bez sensorov i radara, s zavisshim BIUSom — ne smozhet voobshhe nikak. Konechno, i so staroj 125-mm pushkoj mozhno voevat' s otstalym protivnikom, no T-14 «Armata» dlja lokal'nyh konfliktov izlishne navorochen i dorogo stoit. Krome togo, zapadnye tanki postepenno rasprostranjajutsja po planete, i Ukraina mozhet, naprimer, naladit' licenzionnuju sborku. Dlja reshenija jetoj problemy na «Uralvagonzavode» predlagalos' postavit' na tak i ne poshedshij v seriju tank T-95 «Chernyj orel» orudie v 152 mm, i segodnja o toj zhe pushke dlja T-14 «Armata» zagovoril Dmitrij Rogozin. No govorit' proshhe, chem sdelat', v tom chisle iz-za problem proizvodstva kachestvennyh tankovyh gladkostvol'nyh stvolov bol'shego kalibra. U nashih 125-mm est' uzhe problema prostranstvennoj krivizny, iz-za chego vozrastaet razbros i snizhaetsja skorost' BPS na bol'shoj (okolo 2 km) dal'nosti, a takzhe bystrogo (pochti v dva raza po sravneniju s zapadnym 120-mm orudiem) iznosa stvola. U pushki v 152 mm jeti problemy budut mnogo huzhe. Zarjazhanie orudija v 152 mm budet zavedomo razdel'nym, dlina snarjada budet primerno prezhnej, i hotja mogushhestvo snarjada vozrastet, no vrjad li vser'ez prevysit luchshie segodnjashnie zapadnye obrazcy v 120 mm, pri rezkom sokrashhenii obshhego boekomplekta T-14 «Armata», problem snabzhenija v hode boevyh dejstvij iz-za nalichija tankov s raznym osnovnym kalibrom, nizkoj tochnosti i bystrogo iznosa novogo 152-mm orudija.
T14 Armata in its current form not ready to stand up to Western tanks. Command systems and radar are built of Western components and can be disabled by EMP...Ukraine can license local production of Western armor platforms...There are production quality issues with Russian 125mm guns, particularly in the curvature of the barrel, that contribute to rapid wear during operation. Increasing the caliber to 152mm will only exacerbate the issue. The 152mm gun's projectiles will not likely exceed the firepower of the best Western 120mm guns, and mounting 152mm cannons on Russian MBTs would create serious logistical difficulties.
Zapadnye tankostroiteli aktivno obmenivajutsja tehnologijami, razrabotkami i komplektujushhimi i, ochevidno, smogut spravit'sja s problemoj T-14 «Armata» dazhe s orudiem v 152 mm bez razrabotki i proizvodstva novyh, a lish' pri dal'nejshej modernizaciej sushhestvujushhih tankov, i jeto budet vo mnogo raz deshevle, chem dal'nejshaja razrabotka i massovoe proizvodstvo T-14 «Armata». Esli cena nefti na mnogo let ostanetsja nizhe 100 dollarov za barrel', to i T-14 budet, kak segodnja, lish' bol'shoj igrushkoj dlja bol'shogo nachal'stva na paradah.
Western militaries actively share technology, and will soon be easily able to cope with the Armata merely through upgrades to existing designs, rather than creating entirely new designs. The T14 Armata is just an expensive toy for the leadership.
Naprimer, rassmatrivalsja variant s perednim raspolozheniem dvigatelja, kak na «Merkave», dlja luchshej zashhity jekipazha. Nuzhna v ljubom sluchae dlja novogo tanka sushhestvenno drugaja pushka s drugim naborom snarjadov i drugim avtomatom zarjazhanija ili vovse bez nego. Nado chto-to delat' s tradicionno hudoj rossijskoj voennoj jergonomikoj, esli, konechno, Al'fa-bank ne obankrotit «Uralvagonzavod». No v rossijskih Vooruzhennyh silah i v Suhoputnyh vojskah nado vpravdu mnogoe modernizirovat', i ne tol'ko tanki. Nado reshat' nasushhnye problemy, chestno i otkryto opredeljaja prioritety, vmesto togo chtoby privychno naduvat'sja spes'ju, rassuzhdaja ob osobom puti. Esli jekonomicheski, nauchno, tehnologicheski i intellektual'no otstalaja RF v processe narastajushhej korrupcii i deintellektualizacii sozdaet ne imejushhie analogov v mire sistemy, to, skoree vsego, oni takie bol'she nikomu ne nuzhny
If Russia doesn't get serious about actually modernizing its military in the face of increasing corruption and "de-intellectualization", then it's screwed.
Bookmarks