Originally Posted by Pannonian
Do you mean something like Don's pool of who was going to first break the Lebanon-Israel ceasefire last year, and how soon? Specify the details, then perhaps we might be able to get one going.
Last year's betting pool was on who would be the first to break the ceasefire: Israel, the Lebanese government, or Hezbollah. Various time periods were offered: 24 hours, 72 hours, 7 days (IIRC). The incident had to be verified by the UN for the winning bet to count. In the end, no-one won, because no-one made a material bet on the winning result: Israel, 2 weeeks. No need for UN verification, because it was verified by all 3 sides - isn't it nice when warring agencies help us clarify our bets like so?