i wanna talk to someone about the spew but everyone's already set in their ways
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i wanna talk to someone about the spew but everyone's already set in their ways
im pretty tired but will engage with it when im awake enough lol
maple who are the wolves
Benneh's day 2/3 posts about various people (i think this is in reverse order so read bottom up if you care about progressions in each)
Involving Knights:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Involving wisdom:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Involving Gemma:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Involving Insomnia:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Involving Vanta:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Including Maple:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Including Mont:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
To Dolby (not about):
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
So here's the compilation of Benneh posts and I have a lot of thoughts on them but I want to write it out in a different post so this one isn't as long.
Please read through these
@dyachei
Benneh Spew Thoughts:
First, I believe that I have to ignore the chances that he was lost as, well, zero people have found that theory reasonable thus far.
Second, if I operate under that assumption the first thing I have to note is that I cannot envision Wisdom as a wolf with Benneh. There are so many posts going at Wisdom in that spoiler across two days without really relenting while also trying to defend himself from her at points. Even when given the option of Maple vs Wisdom, he is arguing that Wisdom is the better role and should die with a vote there. Note that if you believe it could be that its Benneh/Wisdom/Maple as a trio, we'll get to the Maple part and it's not looking any better for wolf reads there either. And at points he argues that maybe Maple is a wolf PR and should die first as well. He spends time trying to cite a recent game that Wisdom fake claimed as a wolf but "worries that Maple is wolf KP and wisdom is a meh role" before turning around a few posts later and arguing the opposite to vote Wisdom. The point is: Benneh wanted Wisdom to die. Claims Wisdoms claim is weird. Says she's fakeclaimed recently. Is goading Stett into championing a wolf read on Wisdom with the whole "oh yeah those paragraphs do ping me they are a bit appealy and excuse-y but youuuuu need to explain more to make others see it" post. Also before the shift onto Wisdom harder he is asking why Wisdom wolfreads him now despite villa reading him earlier. It reads to me that he's trying to get wisdom killed for two days shifting arguments around to whatever fits and trying to push the major pushing onto vocal villagers. Which, note, is how I'm reading his jumping onto me about Ender early.
Third, to continue on Maple benneh is just going ham on Maple from day 2. Immediately called Maple's Syn vote the worst on day 2, says he could vote Maple instead of Rask, Leans maple again when Rask claims, immediately dismisses Maple's idea that they are self-confirmable with "its a flipless game my dudes lol i am extremely sus of the the idea that anything is self resolving". We are operating under the assumption that if Maple is a wolf it's a mega kill role given the desire to live day 2, the many deaths day 3, etc. Which doesn't track with Benneh THEN voting Maple after the claim on day 2. Then starts up day 3 with a vote there. Calls maple wolf KP. Wants to make the wagons Maple/Ladd. Wants to maj Maple. Says arctic probably shot maple in an effort to shade Maple. Twice. Like, similar to the Wisdom stuff, Benneh is trying really, really, really hard to kill Maple for multiple days. And if Benneh is a pack wolf I am not seeing it be w/w.
Which means, scarily, I am of the opinion that Maple/Wisdom are v/v. Which is a really, really hard thing to push forward because so many people have wanted both dead and so many people have watched the two of them skate through multiple elims when they looked certain to die. Well, multiple for Maple. One for wisdom I guess.
But as I read the thread and read the spew I just .. that's what I think sorry. I also think Wisdom is hard to be a wolf from her own posting even ignoring Benneh! As I posted earlier.
Fourth, which brings us to: where are the wolves then. I think the wolves are in Knights, Dolby, Mont, Gemma, Grr, and Vanta.
The way that Benneh jumped on Ender day one trying to springboard on my suspicion there does not strike me as teamed. Insom has Ender as the would-lose-the-game-to villager. Ender's posting as I read earlier was villagery. The way Benneh validates his Ender push with "he was a PR so im validated" makes me pretty certain Ender is actually a PR. I also think Benneh calling ender "weirdly ignored" and bringing him up on his own is less likely to be teamed (not impossible, but coupled with everything else I am thinking unlikely.
The way Benneh described the Insomnia village read strikes me as a read he just thinks is obvious and is trying to get correct points on. Outside of that he barely discusses Insomnia. Doesn't try to distance at all. Plus, so many dead villagers had Insom locked V that I'm rolling with it.
I'm also rolling with Grr v for the same reasons. Benneh rarely mentioned Grr d2/d3 except to +1 villa reads there but all dead villas were locking Grr too. Plus general villagery posting right?
So that leaves: Knights, Dolby, Mont, Vanta
I think the way benneh talked to Dolby is wolfy. It reads like a quick interaction neither player gives a shit about because they aren't worried about the response coming.
I think Benneh swapping to Ladd (some say outing but I was voting before then PEW PEW) makes a hell of a lot of sense with Ladd coming at Knights with Benneh being teamed with Knights. Calls Ladd's Knights read "widening the poe", calls Knights a likely villager, hits a very similar " oh i agree buddy! can you talk about ladd/jan i need to sort them out!" tone to Knights as he does with Dolby and I'm not really seeing it anywhere else. Basically, just kind of had basic interactions with Knights that are concerning to me ESPECIALLY given I was always concerned about Knights once Benneh flipped given the whole "kept tying me/benneh together but shaded me and propped up benneh when he did" thing I mentioned.
He calls Vanta threadspewed V but thats really it. Very concerned how he asked me to elaborate on Mont when I started v reading but not in an hmmm weird way but almost in a "yes, elaborate on that lets manifest that mont v read in the t hread" way.
I'm not saying it's Knights/Dolby/Mont I'm just saying that's where I lean right now but I gotta check more stuff out.
So here's the issue:
Am I willing to bet the game on this Wisdom/Maple v/v read I have?
Ugh idk. Watching all the dead villagers roll in after losing to Wisdom or Maple would make me feel like I failed. They've been adamant that those two need to die and it would be incredibly selfish to just say nah to that.
But also, that's just ... what I believe? and I have more information now than they did when they died. So maybe I am supposed to roll with it. Trust myself and my ability to read players. I've never been afraid of looking silly (side note: me saying things that are wild or silly is a good way to town read me because I'm way more hesitant to say things like that as a wolf when as a villager I just believe it and go) but I'm also washed and rusty you know so bleh. Also, I don't even know if I have the threadpull to convince anyone anyways if I want to shield.
I wish I did it for Ladd. Is it just overcorrecting to do it now? It's tough spot for me.
Now I need to read the rest of the players from the other direction and see what makes sense.
And check how many posts I have left
on the off chance ur v sunbae, i think saying anyone benneh pushed or wolfread is v when not doing so would have been pushing against consensus is just kind of insane
afaict ur living in a universe where distancing and bussing doesnt exist
so like
nothing you just wrote means anything to me, other than i think its all wolfy
yeah we're on a pretty similar page, sunbae
for what it's worth, with 12 alive and presumably 9-3 ratio remaining, we have at minimum 1 miss, 2 if theyre out of KP
im going over your stuff and cross referencing my notes.
meow meow meow
Every knights post that mentions benneh
(click through, the one above is about benneh)
hmm,
yeah i think ill go ~ anything else now glgl gemma
I know I'm a broken record but this should be outing for Maple. The only reason I can see this not going through is if Jan got roleblocked and the only reason to roleblock him would be to save Maple.
Yeah Maple is going full swing all wim now that we're closing in on lategame. This isn't new to w!him.
w!Maple being hard to kill does not make him town.
zero to do with wolfreading me, tilted at it being like the third time youve treated me like an idiot
can express disagreement without being condescending and rude
Sunbae/Gemma not w/w you heard it here first!
fwiw idk when u think i may have treated u that way previously but i dont think ur one at all my only perception of u is that ur a savvy and experienced mafia player
@Vanta Black whyd u vote ladd
whos a villager etc
Ok, we're good.
My mistake for reading it a different way than intended. Apologies for being frustrated on my end too.
I'll get back at the thread in the am
Does anyone know what Ben's relationship to bussing is?
Like, the moment Maple claimed self resolving he was a dying slot, so Ben bussing him to go deep makes sense.
I don't know why he changed his mind and went Ladd though, maybe he wanted to sac himself to make sure the arsonist got another ignite and didn't think Dya would shoot him.
sunbae if u rly believe maple is a villager can u talk about why u think jan would have not killed
i cant make sense of a world where jan doesnt execute there
cuz imo spew and whatever else is basically secondary to that
and also wrt ur spew reads i just dont see u taking into account that benneh could be bussing / talking about what makes his pushes on wisdom/maple distinctly nonbussy and taking the context of those pushes within their gamestate into account
eg ur saying benneh pushing maple super hard day 2 makes maple v except everyone thought maple was outed day 2 no?
in maple/benneh worlds what else is benneh meant to do there
im also vaguely aware of benneh having hellbussed before and sure i think its like baseline a good look for ppl benneh def wanted to kill but the leap to clearing slots off spew alone is another thing, idk maybe im just blind to the truth
i tried to write this in as neutral language as possible rather than the usual wild shit is ay to entertain myself hope it worked