Mafia status as of N13-14:
--Stracci. Don: Omanes A. (dead), Luca: Dutch Guy (dead), Made: Andres (dead), NorthNovas (dead), Former associated wise guy: LouisVI (dead), associated wise guys or mades: Tran (dead). Calling Card: Pink ballet slippers. Victims: Drisos (detective, N1), Pannonian (wise guy, N3), Motep (wise guy, N5), Louis VI (presumed wise guy, N6), attempted hits on GH (N2, N3), Proletariat (N4), Craterus (N6), Sasaki (N7), Brave Sir Robin (N7).
--Corleone. Don: Sigurd (dead), Luca: Kommodus?, Made: Tiberius of the Drake (dead). Calling Card: Weather balloons and religious paraphernalia. Victims: Glenn (crusader?, N3), Beefy (townie, N3), The Stranger (townie, N3), GH (wise guy, N4), attempted hits on Glenn (N2) and Proletariat (N4, N5, N6?). This family made an explosive entrance on night 3, but achieved only one kill afterwards. Based on Hiji's postmortem, he may be involved with this group. Other mafia families may also have participated on N3. The Corleones were the ones to call for a mafia truce through Tiberius and TosaInu.
--Tataglia. Don: Elite Ferret (dead), Luca: Makanyane (dead), Made: Charge (dead). Mades or associated wise guys: gibsonsg (defected), scottishranger (defected). Calling Card: a Spanish (oops) phrase (destiny is inexorable). Victims: Kamikhaan (townie, N5), ajaxfetish (townie, N6), Husar (townie, N7), Sarathos (mafia wise guy, N8), Cowhead418 (detective, N10), Myrddraal (surgeon, N11), Brave Sir Robin (townie, N12).
--Barzini. Don: Kagemusha (dead), Luca: Joe Monks?, Made: FactionHeir (dead), Mades or associated wise guys: CountArach, Ichigo (dead), Leet Eriksson? (dead), Sasaki Kojiro. Calling Card: Rose and a preference for explosives. Victims: Zorg (wise guy, N3), Moros (N4, wise guy or wolf-type character), Chimpyang (townie, N5, black rose), Lt. Pinard (townie, N6), Haudegen (wise guy, N9), LittleGrizzly (surgeon, N10), Ironside (N13), attempted hits on CR (N6, white rose), Elite Ferret (N12), Shlin28 (N13), possible attempted hit on Proletariat (N4).
--Cunnio. Don: Craterus, Luca: Warluster?, Made: True Praetorian, Mades or associated wise guys: Xehh II, scottishranger, gibsonsg. Calling Card: Crossbows. Victims: norwegian nerd (N13), Joe Monks (N14), Leet Eriksson (N14).
With all the revelations the mafia have provided in the last couple days, this is certainly the most complete summary I have yet, but some parts are still my best guesses.
Dons: We know Omanes is the Stracci don, and recent revelations have shown Elite Ferret to be the Tataglia don, Kagemusha the Barzini don, and Craterus the Cunnio don. The only other previously killed don is Sigurd, who I assume must be Don Corleone, especially since he's the one CR nailed through the don meeting IP thing, and Don Corleone called for the truce. Since no other post-mortems have shown up as dons, I think Elite Ferret must have been Don Tataglia from the beginning.
Lucas: we know Dutch Guy was the Stracci luca, and according to CR Makanyane was the Tataglia luca. Kommodus and Warluster have also been shown to be lucas based on post-mortems. I'm guessing Warluster was the Cunnio luca. IIRC Craterus mentioned his luca had been killed awhile back, but Kommodus was killed N4, before Craterus' protection on N6 (Warluster was killed N11). If I understood all the conversation lately, Barzinis were the only family with a living luca, and based on their membership I'm thinking it was probably Joe Monks (murdered N14, after his don).
Mades: We know Andres is the Stracci made, and after his exposure Tiberius called for the meeting on Don Corleone's behalf, so I've assigned him to the Corleones along with Sigurd and Kommodus. Based on Caius' pm reveals, Charge was associated with the Tataglias, so I've named him the Tataglia made. FactionHeir killed (based on CR's guilty result) on a night when the Barzinis were the only successful killing family, so I've made him the Barzini made. TruePraetorian seems to be the Cunnio made, as they claim to have lost their luca and hadn't had enough kills earlier to promote wise guys. Of course some families have been able to promote additional mades, and so I'm not sure who was an initial made and who was promoted later. Northnovas became a Stracci made before his death. I think CountArach and Ichigo were (or are in CA's case) both Barzini mades as well. gibsonsg and scottish are likely both mades by now as well, though they've been in multiple families (currently Cunnio).
Affiliated wise guys: there's some overlap here as for some of the living or recently dead, I'm not sure if they're mades or still wise guys, such as scottish and gibsonsg. Tran was a wise guy connected to the Straccis. I still don't know which family claimed Sarathos. Sasaki is a wise guy currently linked to the Barzinis, and XehhII to the Cunnios. Leet Eriksson seemed to also be a Barzini wise guy, though I'm not 100% on that.
The funny thing for me is the killing on N3. As the Straccis are the ballet mafia, the Barzinis the rose mafia, the Tataglias the destiny mafia, and the Cunnios now the crossbow mafia, it seems the Corleones must have been the balloon mafia (and given Sigurd's interest in religion, I can certainly believe he would choose to have religious references in his calling card as well). On N3 there were 3 balloon killings, but Tiberius was already dead, leaving only Sigurd and his luca (I'm guessing Kommodus) as definite Corleones for that night. Given that this group only managed one hit the next night and none afterward, It seems unlikely they had mustered enough wise guys to pull off the N3 tour de force. Furthermore, Makanyane got a guilty result that night even though the Tataglias didn't have any kills. My hypothesis is that as part of the mafia truce members of multiple families participated in Corleone-sanctioned kills. I'm not certain this would be legal, but I can't think of another decent explanation. This would mean Makanyane was in on either Glenn's, Beefy's, or the Stranger's kills that night. The other weird thing on N3 is that Hiji, though he showed up as a townie, had a cross and wire in his post-mortem, both things suspiciously similar to the Corleones' killing methods. I think he was linked but don't know how, perhaps a special role (JimBob & Co also showed up as townies but with weird stuff connected to them).
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Musings:
Lone killers with calling cards or consistent modi operandi
--Rogue Detective: KukriKhan (dead). A pro-town rogue killer. Using a powerful .577 Webley he shot Kommodus (luca, N4), Woad&Fangs (wise guy, N5), and Makanyane (luca, N8). He was lynched by the mafia D13.
--King of Hearts Assassin: Sigurd. Another lone killer, using knives and leaving King of Hearts playing cards. He participated in killing Woad & Fangs (wise guy, N5) and Louis VI (presumed wise guy, N6), and attempted a kill on TinCow (wise guy, N7). Sigurd claimed to have this role. As I understand the rules, a don may participate in solo killings once the rest of his family is killed. Tiberius the Drake, the Corleone made, was lynched D3, and Kommodus, probably the Corleone luca, was killed by Kukri N4. The King of Hearts killer first struck the following night, and vanished after Sigurd's lynching on D8. Perhaps he was telling the truth after all about being the King of Hearts killer, but not about it being a hitman role.
--Ashanderei: Twilightblade. Yet another solo attacker, but without any successful kills as yet. Attempted hits on Proletariat (N9), Elite Ferret (don, N10), Myrddraal (surgeon, N11), and Caius (N14). This attacker was revealed as Twilightblade during his unsuccessful attack on Myrddraal. TB's defense, in PM to Sasaki, was that he is a bored player doing solo vig hits knowing that they'll fail. Based on his four solo failures and lack of successful kills, this explanation is probably true. According to the rules, solo townies run the risk of dying in a vig. attempt, solo wise guys or mafia a risk of being identified.
--EMFM: Evil Maniac from Mars was killed trying to take down Proletariat N8, likely due to the protection of either Myrddraal or LittleGrizzly. It's likely EMFM was the repeat solo attacker of several days previously, and he may have been involved in the earlier attempts on Glenn. His motivations are unknown (he may have even been pro-town and working to promote a surgeon).
--Society for Creative Anachronism. This townie vigilante organization was coordinated by JimBob starting on N5 and led by TinCow, especially after JimBob's inactivity began. With TinCow's death, townie leadership shifted from the SCA to Kukrikhan. Successful hits on FactionHeir (made, N6), Northnovas (made, N7), Tran (mafia wise guy, N8), Ichigo (made, N10), Warluster (luca, N11). Failed hits on Tran (N5)-not enough pms, Twilightblade (N5)-not enough pms, Tran (N7)-apparently luck, Ichigo (N9)-not enough pms, Charge (N9)-apparently luck.
Elite Ferret. The don of the Tataglias was murdered on N13. The perpetrators managed to conceal their identities effectively, and current suspects include an in-family killing by Scottish and gibsonsg, a hit orchestrated by Craterus, a hit orchestrated by Kagemusha, and a townie hit, possible coordinated by Craterus.
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Detective results:
Cowhead418 (via TinCow, N5 & N6 also via a further anonymous intermediary), regular detective
N1: pevergreen = criminal (lynched D2, wise guy, accurate)
N1: The Stranger = innocent (murdered N3, townie, accurate)
N2: Glenn = innocent (murdered N3, crusader?, probably accurate)
N2: Crazed Rabbit = innocent (lynched D10, FBI agent, accurate)
N3: charge = criminal (lynched D11, made, accurate)
N3: ajaxfetish = innocent (murdered N6, townie, accurate)
N4: Proletariat = innocent (still alive)
N4: Twilightblade = criminal (still alive)
N5: Rhythmic = innocent (murdered N5, townie, accurate)
N5: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, results pending)
N6: norwegian nerd = innocent (murdered N13, results pending)
N6: FactionHeir = criminal (murdered N6, made, accurate)
CR, FBI detective
N1: Andres = guilty (lynched D5, made, murdered Drisos N1, accurate)
N1: Proletariat = innocent (still alive)
N2: GeneralHankerchief = criminal, wise guy (murdered N4, wise guy, accurate)
N2: Moros = criminal (murdered N4, wise guy or shadow, accurate)
N3: Twilightblade = criminal (still alive)
N3: Makanyane = guilty (murdered N8, luca, must have murdered on N3)
N4: FactionHeir = guilty (murdered N6, made, must have murdered on N4)
N4: Hiji = guilty (lynched D9, townie but with anomalies, must have killed someone by N4)
N5: Joe Monks = criminal (still alive)
N5: Makanyane = guilty N5, Tataglia Luca from outset of game. (murdered N8, luca, must have murdered on N5)
N6: LittleGrizzly = innocent (murdered N10, surgeon, accurate)
N6: norwegian nerd = innocent (murdered N13, results pending)
N7: Roadkill = innocent (WoGged N9, townie, accurate)
N7: Warluster = criminal (murdered N11, luca, accurate)
N8: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, surgeon, accurate)
N8: Ironside = innocent (murdered N13, results pending)
KukriKhan, claimed as Rogue Detective
N1: pevergreen = criminal (lynched D2, wise guy, accurate)
N1: woad&fangs = criminal (murdered N5 by Kukri, wise guy, accurate)
N2: Kommodus = criminal (murdered N4 by Kukri, luca, accurate)
N2: Ichigo = unclear (murdered N10, made, accurate)
N3: AlexanderthePrettyGood = no result obtained; PM mix-up
N3: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, results pending)
N3: Crazed Rabbit = innocent (bonus, unrequested result; PM mix-up) (lynched D10, FBI agent, accurate)
N6: Makayane = guilty (murdered N8 by Kukri, luca, must have murdered on N6)
N6: Craterus = innocent (still alive)
N7: Ironside = innocent (murdered N13, results pending)
N7: DracoLeman = innocent (WoGged N11, doctor, accurate)
N9: TinCow = criminal (lynched D12, results pending)
N9: CountArach = guilty (still alive, must have murdered on N9)
N10: Warluster = criminal (murdered N11, luca, accurate)
N10: scottishranger = criminal (still alive)
N11: TruePraetorian = criminal (still alive)
N11: XehhII = guilty (still alive, must have murdered on N11)
N12: Caius = failure
N12: gibsonsg91921= failure
Victims N3, N4, and N5
--Makanyane guilty N3: taka (I think that was TinCow's old wise guy group (with GH, gibsong, and ?NorthNovas? Didn't he claim that?), Beefy (balloon mafia), Zorg (rose mafia), Pannonian (Straccis), the Stranger (balloon mafia), Glenn (balloon mafia).
--FactionHeir guilty N4: Kommodus (Rogue Detective), Moros (rose mafia), Xiahou (no calling card).
--Makanyane guilty N5: Kamikhaan (Italian destiny mafia), Chimpyang (rose mafia), Motep (Straccis), Rhythmic (no calling card), Woad & Fangs (King of Hearts hitman).
--Makanyane guilty N6: Lt. Pinard (rose mafia), FactionHeir (SCA), Louis (Straccis/King of Hearts), ajaxfetish (Italian destiny mafia)
--CountArach guilty N9: Haudegen (rose mafia)
--XehhII guilty N11: Warluster (SCA), Myrddraal (Italian destiny mafia)
CR claimed Makanyane was the Tataglia luca. I believe him, however, the Tataglia calling card (Spanish destiny) didn't show up till N5, when she got her 2nd guilty result for Kamikhaan. I'm uncertain about the night 3 result, but my hypothesis is in the mafia section above.
FactionHeir must (1) have been part of the rose mafia, or (2) have been part of the ?vigilante group? that killed Xiahou. As a made, the rose mafia is more likely.
Count Arach must (1) be in the rose mafia, or (2) be only a wise guy and have murdered by N9. I suspect he's a Barzini. Ichigo probably was, too, based on the failed hit on him CA was supposed to be helping with and fellow SCA member Haudegen's death that same night.
XehhII must have (1) been in the SCA, or (2) been in the Spanish destiny mafia (Tataglia).
Summary of the living based on detective results.
Innocent (pro-town or don): Proletariat (Cowhead & CR), Craterus (Kukri)
Criminal (wise guy or mafia): Twilightblade (Cowhead & CR), scottishranger (Kukri), True Praetorian (Kukri)
Guilty (townie, wise guy, or mafia killer): CountArach (Kukri), XehhII (Kukri)
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Post-mortem results:
30 pro-town
Townie: Lord Winter, Beefy, taka, the Stranger, FahadI, killfr3nzy, Sapi, Xiahou, Rhythmic, molonthegreat, Chimpyang, Kamikhaan, ajaxfetish, Lt. Pinard, Husar, JohnHughThom, Roadkill, Alexander the Pretty Good, Hiji (though his post-mortem is very suspicious), Caesar III, Brave Sir Robin
Detective: Drisos, Cowhead418
FBI Debective: Crazed Rabbit
Surgeon: LittleGrizzly, Myrddraal
Doctor: Draco Leman
Crusader?: Glenn, Rob the Celt, JimBob
16 neutral
Wise Guy: Pevergreen, Hannibal, Pannonian, Zorg, GH, x-Danger, Moros (though Moros may be an unaffiliated mafia member), Motep, WarmasterHorus, Woad&Fangs, Xdeathfire, LouisVI (though Seamus write-up was not specific on his starting role), EMFM (I'm not sure where exactly to put him, so he goes neutral for now), Haudegen, BKS, TinCow
14 mafia
Affiliated Wise Guy: Tran (Stracci), Sarathos (family unknown)
Made: Tiberius (Corleone), Andres (Stracci), FactionHeir (Barzini), NorthNovas (Stracci), Ichigo (probably Barzini), charge (I'm guessing Tataglia)
Luca: Kommodus (I'm guessing Corleone), Dutch Guy (Stracci), Makanyane (Tataglia), Warluster (I'm guessing Cunnio)
Don: Omanes (Stracchi), Sigurd (Corleone)
Dead but not yet post-mortemed:
Elite Ferret: claimed Tataglia don
norwegian nerd: townie?
Ironside: townie?
Kagemusha: claimed Barzini don
Joe Monks: Barzini luca?
Leet Eriksson: Barzini wise guy?
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The Few, the Proud, the Living:
Caius: wise guy, loyalties split between town and Cunnio
CountArach: Barzini made
Craterus: Cunnio don
gibsonsg91921: wise guy, now probably a made. Joined and deserted Tataglia, now a Cunnio (according to his own testimony, the Stracci part is false. I think stuff has come up in the thread to contradict that earlier and I just failed to record it, so I took that part out)
Proletariat: detective?
Sasaki Kojiro: townie, now a wise guy. Joined the Barzinis but ready to join whatever faction will win
scottishranger: wise guy or made. Joined and deserted Tataglia, now a Cunnio
shlin28: doctor
TruePraetorian: Cunnio made
Twilightblade: unaffiliated wise guy
XehhII: wise guy, now possibly a made, joined Cunnio once mafia were dominant
Pure opportunists: gibsonsg91921, Sasaki, Scottish, XehhII, possibly Caius. These guys don’t care what faction wins, as long as they are in it. The others have a little more integrity.
Ajax
