Germany gazing into the abyss (federal elections)

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Originally Posted by Gilrandir

What if the new one yields the same (or almost the same) results?

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Then the excitement intensifies! ~;)

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Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh

Then its 'meet the new boss, same as the old boss."

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But the old new boss doesn't seem capable of creating a government under the existing conditions. Is there any hope the electors' preferences will change in so short a time?

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Originally Posted by Gilrandir

But the old new boss doesn't seem capable of creating a government under the existing conditions. Is there any hope the electors' preferences will change in so short a time?

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It's Germany, no. Merkel will win because she represents stability. But there will be no new elections

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Originally Posted by Gilrandir

But the old new boss doesn't seem capable of creating a government under the existing conditions. Is there any hope the electors' preferences will change in so short a time?

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That would depend partially on whether the AfD losing a whole lot of opportunistic MGPs within such a short time would influence the decision of their voters. A lot of the protest voters would apparently vote for them again, but maybe those who thought of them as an alternative in more than just the name might change their votes. Then again that could be a minority among their voters. :laugh4:

Other influences could come from the failed negotiations and the coalition behavior of the parties. The SPD is still struggling with the coalition after signalling some willingness to negotiate now. The FDP made the coalition fail by pulling out, some like it, some don't. The Greens were willing to make heavy concessions during the negotiations, which could hurt their standing with their voters. The CSU made no or nearly no concessions, which might appeal to some of the voters they lost but made everyone outside Bavaria hate them (could hurt the CDU since they come as a package nationally). Merkel could be seen as having failed, etc.


As for going on now:
Kenia has been brought up (Black, Red, Green, basically adding the Greens to a big coalition government even though their seats would not be required, just to add flavor and aid the SPD).
Others would prefer a minority government with shifting alliances as that would cause more debate again. Others find that questionable because Merkel could then not make any promises to other countries without asking parliament first every time to see if she can keep them.