If Brexit ends up being that bad, the EU will rejoice to swoop in and save the day with rapid re-integration.
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Boris Johnson is the new PM, without having been elected by the British people.
It’s the arrogance. It’s the contempt. That’s what gets me. It’s Boris Johnson’s apparent belief that he can just trample on the democratic will of the British people.
It’s at moments like this that I think the political world has gone mad, and I am alone in detecting the gigantic fraud.
The extraordinary thing is that it looks as though he will now be in 10 Downing Street for three years, and without a mandate from the British people. No one elected Boris Johnson as Prime Minister…
Boris Johnson could appease public indignation over that, and secure the democratic mandate he needs, by asking the public to vote at once on him, and on the implications of the no deal Brexit he wants. Let’s have an election without delay.
Those aren't the laws of the land. They never have been. We didn't have an election when Tony Blair decided to take the country to war against Iraq. And that had protests of c. 2 million in London. The only one who can realistically sort this out is the Queen - who is more interested in keeping her family in power than rocking the boat.
To be clear - I think Boris is driven by rampant ambition bordering on narcissism. I wouldn't be surprised if he's got one eye on becoming the President of the USA in 2024.
~:smoking:
Yes, I know. I've read it repeatedly over the last few days as suddenly many people need to point out that he's a power hungry hypocrite. Did the two drafts, one pro and one anti-EU not show that he's only interested in benefiting himself?
But yeah... politicians are self serving. Thanks for pointing that out...!
~:smoking:
i'm no fan of boris, but i am enormously encouraged by the appointment of cummings.
can they command a majority in parliament?
if not, we can have another ge and he'll get one then.
If he can't, he'll call a general election and get one.
Boris Johnson announced this morning that negotiations over Brexit would not continue until the Irish Backstop was removed from the discussions. Looks like DUP is punching more than their weight.
I know there is no hard and fast answer to this, only opinions. But I'm curious what the UK folks and the ROI folks think Arlene Foster is whispering in BoJo's ear right now? Is this simply putting the red line on the Province border and not in the Irish Sea? Or is this an attempt to undo Good Friday? Foster is a devoted Paisley disciple, correct?
your whining again. every response is always a tangent away from the reply you quote.
like you keep trying to catch me out with some clever logical ruse. failing, and moving on to lay the next 'trap' in the hope i will fall into it.
if you were dealing with a half wit it might work, but that is the level we're operating at here.
but to directly answer your next tangent:
yes he did. as did most of labour. now we're looking at a harder brexit than we were heading to with may's deal.
pleased with yourself?
i did my bit - made my compromise - and things are now moving in a direction i am comfortable with. i'm not sure why you're looking for outrage from me...
One notes that both the EU and many in the UK insist they will not support "No Deal" and yet they refuse to negotiate any substantive change to "the deal".
This raises the question of how, exactly, we are supposed to leave with a deal if "the deal" cannot be reintroduced to Parliament this session.
When May set her red lines, the rules of the EU meant the deal she eventually got was the deal she was always going to get. Put data through a function, you can calculate the result that's going to come out. Why are you complaining about the result? If you don't like the result, start with different data.
Firstly, politics is not a science.
Secondly - that is not remotely my point.
At this stage there are only two options - Remain and No Deal?
So - why are both Britain and the EU continuing to demand the other move their position and why are pundits supporting this charade?
The EU is rules based. If you want certain conditions, then in the main these are the options open. They published a map at the beginning detailing the conditions that a UK government may demand and what possible options there may be as a result of these conditions. May's deal fitted that map to a tee, as everyone paying attention could have predicted. Make certain demands, and you can have those but you'll rule out certain avenues.
The EU haven't demanded that the UK move their position. Quite the opposite. They've repeatedly said that the deal is the result of concluded negotiations which they entered into in good faith, and they'll keep up their end, and it's up to the UK to keep up theirs. There is no further movement. They've even disbanded the negotiation team. It's only the UK who's repeatedly demanded that the other side move their position.
If it does come down to Remain and No Deal, presumably you'd opt for No Deal, and blame the EU.
You're not listening.
The EU says it wants "the Deal" and the UK must "get on with" passing "the deal.
This is clearly not going to happen before October 31st - but the EU has refused further extensions.
So - why does the EU claim it wants a deal so badly and yet refuse to countenance further negotiation?
The truth is either that the EU does not particularly want a deal, it is not particularly concerned about a "hard border" in Northern Ireland, or that the EU does not understand the situation in the UK and believes we will buckle at the last possible second.
Then you have all those in Parliament who say they want "a Deal" but not "the Deal" despite the EU saying "there is only The Deal".
So, are both sides stupid, insane, dishonest, or all of the above?
This does not compute. The EU has said the negotiations are complete. The deal is the best the UK can have, given its own demands, and given the rules of the EU and treaties to which the UK is subject to (such as the GFA). Why do you equate the deal with further negotiation? The UK set its own rules, the EU has its own rules. The two were put together to find a position that satisfies both. May's deal is the result.
Also, why are you solely blaming the EU for the NI-RoI border? The issue is a bilateral agreement between the UK and the RoI. The EU guarantees it, but it's not just the EU that guarantees it, as the US has also (in the last week AFAIK) also guaranteed it. Yet you blame only the EU, not the US, not the UK. Again, it is not brinkmanship as you portray it. There are rules, and either the UK abides by these rules (the bilateral treaty between the UK and the RoI), or it can ignore those rules and take the hit to its international relations that being a rogue state that does not keep agreements involves.
When everything is at the instigation of the UK, and the EU is but one of a number of parties involved, why do Brexiteers still insist on blaming the EU and the EU only?
Attachment 22756
Literary Boris:
"Here, as always, Johnson claims the privileges of the clown while exercising the power of a politician."
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
I see the Irish are shitting themselves.
They'll be fine. Being a Dependency of a large power is one exchanges sovereignty for protection.
More resetting a large bone that has been broken for over 30 years. It'll hurt like hell but it isn't the doctor's fault who resets it, it s those who broke it in the first place.
~:smoking:
Over the last 30 years or so - since the previous referendum - what the UK populace agreed to has morphed well past the tolerances that would have been expected at the time. Getting back to where we were is going to be difficult.
Would you prefer that the bone was incorrectly set in the first place?
~:smoking:
Couldn't the same be said about what Brexit means? Look at what Leave campaigners were promising at the time of the campaign, and compare with what they're promising now. Farage was promising Norway. Fox was promising the easiest trade deals ever. Others were promising single market benefits without the responsibilities. All of them were saying that the EU needed us more than we need them. Now we're looking at no deal. If you want to talk about changes in perceptions, there's been a greater change in what Brexit promises in a much shorter length of time.
Where is the broken bone? If EU membership is the broken bone because of changed perceptions, how would you describe Brexit?
This thread in a nutshell:
Pan: Do you still support Brexit?
Everyone: Yes
Pan: Why, it is going to give us X outcome.
Everyone: I dont see X outcome as bad.
Pan: Why?
Everyone: Here is an analogy.
Pan: No, that analogy actually means Brexit is bad!
Everyone: .......
Pan: Do you still support Brexit?
Every single week.
I'm not even commenting how good the analogies are and what they accurately apply to. Just seeing a pattern.
You've missed out one.
Pannonian: Are the Brexiteers going to take responsibility for the consequences of Brexit?
Brexiteers: It's the EU's fault.
You can see that on this very page, in PFH's posts. Arguably in rory's posts too, but PFH's posts fit the above to a tee. It's all the EU's fault. Never theirs.
You what? Are you going to campaign for our exit from NATO and all the other extra-national organisations which we're currently a part of as well? NATO governs our spending, requiring us to spend 2% of our budget on defence. Which is outrageous, as we should be able to control our spending however we like. The UN, ECHR, ICJ and so on govern what we can and cannot do to human beings. Which is outrageous, as we should be allowed to torture people if that is the will of our people. The ITLOS governs maritime law. Which is outrageous, as we should be allowed to privateer as part of our sovereign rights. It is a proud part of our history, after all. Hell, maybe we should take up slavery again. We never had a referendum to ban that.
We are part of the above groups without having had referendums to confirm our membership. Are you going to be consistent and apply your argument across the board?
No. you've been told time and again why you are 180 degrees wrong to equate supranational socio-economic political governance and limited intergovernmental treaty organization.
You just go quiet, wait a few weeks before trotting out the same cobblers again.
No!
You do become very tiresome with the same old, tired, and wilfully incorrect statements.
NATO doesn't govern our spending. Hence why most members do not meet the 2% target.
The UK has a veto at the UN - and generally doesn't govern what anyone can do. Fun fact - although it covers almost all the countries in the world, it only recognises 6 languages. The EU has the overhead of 27.
Please drop the whataboutism - which in most cases isn't even factually accurate.
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Stop it, just stop it.
ACIN is right. This has gone from a thread talking about Brexit to a thread where we have to bat away the same arguments from you week after week.
I've given you at least five breakdowns of why the passage of the Lisbon Treaty was generally a bad thing but here's the nub - the Lisbon Treaty created the exit-limbo we are living in. Article 50 envisages a two-year withdrawal period and uses it as a stick to beat the withdrawing country with.
Meanwhile, the PM has been warned that up to 60 hard-line Brexitieers will vote down the deal even without the backstop. According to the Telegraph.
Yes, it was Lord Kerr.
There was an interview he did about it. Shot himself in the foot as Article 50 was a way to get dictators out of the EU and never expected a western democracy to go and do it themselves.
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/110...-UK-latest/amp
What responsibility do you bear for tacitly approving of unneccessary and wholly toxic acts of political integration, without which this situation may never have arisen?
i.e. a labour government throwing away Major's opt out from the social chapter.
if you sat there thinking “im cool with that, we're all EUropeans now in Blair's cool britannia” without ever pausing to consider the poisonous effect on a polity skeptical of political union, then you too are culpable for the no vote.
It is the EU, not the UK, which has been refusing to negotiate since December when it became clear the Withdrawal Agreement would not pass. Throughout the negotiations the EU has treated the UK as an uncooperative EU member whilst describing us as a "Third Party" with the assumption that we will eventually fall into line for the good of the EU. Given that Britain voted to leave the EU this is patently absurd - Parliament must do what is in the interests of the British people as directed by those same people.
We had a referendum, the instruction was to leave the EU (by a greater margin than the referendum in which France agreed to the creation of the EU) ans so the Government and Parliament is trying to leave. however, the Backstop is obviously not in the British interest as it is and the EU will not compromise, so we cannot reach agreement.
This is a thing that sometimes happen, Pan, countries just don't reach agreement. Despite Myths to the contrary the EU is not a literal machine, it could bend but its political masters have instructed it not to. At this point that inflexibility has hardened the position of the governing party to the extent that No Deal is now almost the only foreseeable outcome.
Why is this?
I would say a failure of diplomacy on BOTH sides for which our Government is partly responsible.
Trying to read that responsibility back onto the voters, though, isn't really going to wash. We didn't direct the UK or the EU to have these negotiating positions, we didn't instruct parliament to vote down the deal or Theresa May to fail to construct a deal that could pass parliament.
Blaming Leave voters for this is like blaming Labour Voters for the Lisbon Treaty - given that you're a Labour voter and this all leads back to Lisbon this really does raise the question of how culpable you really are.
After Brexit, Canada and the UK will become even closer friends
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Originally Posted by Dominic Raab, Foreign Secretary
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Originally Posted by Canadian
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Originally Posted by Canadian
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Originally Posted by Canadian
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Originally Posted by Canadian
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Originally Posted by Canadian
Who is this chippy Canuck?
I can make jokes too:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doPR-6X9h7c
With apologies to Husar, this sketch is about 25 years old - it encapsulates the British fear of German hegemony over Europe - and also British paranoia that inside every German is a Gestapo Officer trying to get out.
Canadian exports by country: https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/exports-by-country
It's not a surprise to see that, overall, the rest of the EU represents a larger export market than the UK, but the UK itself is still Canada's third largest trade partner and accounts for roughly the same value in exports as the other major EU economies put together.
So does anyone think Boris is actually trying to negotiate with the EU at all or push the other agenda? From what I see a no-deal Brexit is his endgame and then he'll just try and crisis manage all the negative effects afterward.
The EU won't, never intended to and never will "negotiate". You say what you'll be prepared to do and they'll say the level of access that will purchase. Why on earth would they demonstrate that a country can keep the good bits of the EU and ditch the overheads?
The recent elections have shown that there is a large number of people that voted for the exit parties. By exiting, he can at a stroke defang both these parties, leaving all the opposition parties to fight over the remain votes - with our first past the post system perhaps he'll even get some seats because the opposition is split against him.
~:smoking:
it may even be the case that for the above scenario to work that TM needed to honestly and publicly seek a deal and to fail brutally in the trying.
Again, blaming the EU. The EU runs on rules. The rules were known before the referendum. Leave made a load of promises that were unachievable given these rules. After the result, the EU offered a number of solutions based on these rules depending on what the UK wanted to offer in return. Brexiteers are still demanding what is unachievable given these rules.
Leave has never wanted negotiation. It was clear shortly afterwards, when Leavers were making their modified demands (changing from moderate during the campaign to outrageous after), that Leavers only wanted to Leave on no deal and blame the EU for it. And so we see it play out. We're going to leave on no deal and Leavers are going to blame the EU for it. Leavers will never ever take responsibility for their own decision. It is always someone else's fault.
No, stating a fact. I never said they should negotiate and voted with the expectation of a no deal Brexit since, as I've repeatedly said, the EU is a political cartel and has to punish Leavers to stop others leaving.
You really only hear the voices echoing in your own head, don't you?
~:smoking:
Can you point me to where Leave campaigners promised no deal during the campaign?
What Vote Leave leaders really said about no-deal Brexit
If you justify no deal by saying that you voted in the expectation of no deal, despite no politician having promised no deal during the campaign, and only bringing about these expectations after the result, what else are you going to say you expected? What other changes to society are you going to say you voted in expectation of, despite there being no evidence of it being promised during the campaign?Quote:
Originally Posted by Boris Johnson
For crying out loud No Deal is Brexit. End of.
The campaigners said otherwise during the campaign. Show instances from the campaign where Leave campaigners said that Brexit means leaving with no deal. I've seen plenty of instances where they promised otherwise. Can you show any where they promised no deal?
Do you think that Brexit should be judged on whether or not the NHS gets an extra 350 million per week? Unlike no deal, this was something that the Leave campaign specifically promised.
This is a recurring theme for you throughout the thread. I hereby stipulate that pro "leave" politicos were mostly on a "paint a rosier picture than really likely because I don't really understand the nuances" all the way down through "lie through my teeth to get us out of the EU an hope that the dust settles without me being called to account" spectrum.
There will be no 'deal.' The UK will separate from the EU with all that that entails. Your leadership is hanging it's hat on that referendum that broke 52-48 against despite the pundits predicting the virtual opposite.
So, are you going to the barricades to preserve your membership in a larger Europe or not.
Please show which court has stated this is "illegal"? I read this banded around more and more by people but as far as I recall there's no evidence to back this up. The courts even stated that Boris's lies are not illegal.
By the way, your next move is to move to saying things are "immoral". Much more vague and you can continue to regurgitate the same worn statements.
~:smoking:
I was tempted to swear.....
A deal was not on the referendum. It was a binary choice. Stay or leave.
It's not about money for the NHS or money at all. It's about our ability to sack the wazzocks who make the laws when we've had enough of them.
One thing the referendum has highlighted is how many anti-democrats inhabit these shores and shame on them. Things will never be the same again. The cats well and truly out of the bag.
Whilst we all know this is true it's worth pointing out that this "rules" based approach doesn't nessecitate the Backstop. The Backstop has now become a prerequisite to ANY deal when its sole justification is maintainance of the "spirit" of the Good Friday Agreement.
If the spirit of the GFA is co-operation then the EU is not presently upholding it because by refusing to even negotiate over a fresh deal they ensure no deal.
Key to Pan's argument is the idea that we are headed down a certain "track" but if we follow his argument and observe the behaviour of the EU we have to conclude that they always unacceptable Backstop is the signal point to leave the station and apparently always has been. This raises the question of who really wants "No Deal" because if the EU always planned to hang any deal on a Backstop Parliament was always going to reject then they presumably always knew we were going to end up here.
Now, this is not to say that some in the Leave campaign were not gunning for No Deal as well, but that does not absolve the EU of responsibility. Rather, it suggests a sort of bizzare Faustian pact between the two sides akin to the one between Evangelical Christians in the US and the Far Right in Israel.
Wasn't the backstop May's idea? The EU's requirement is also the US's requirement, but I never see Brexiteers complain about the US for demanding the same, that the GFA be kept. The US has repeatedly said, the GFA must be kept, or the UK can forget about any agreement with the US. Yet you continue to blame the EU and the EU only. For something that was the UK's idea. Always the EU's fault. Never the UK's.
BTW, the ERG have said that they're going to block the WA, backstop or no backstop.
Which level of representation in the EU's administration are you objecting to? MEPs are directly voted in by EU citizens like yourself in Euro elections, the last of which took place in May. Do they count as being able to be voted out? EU commissioners are appointed and not voted for, that is true, but they are appointed by the national governments, who are voted for by UK citizens in UK elections, the last of which took place in 2017. Do they count as being able to be voted out? Which of these do you decry as undemocratic?
How is it trolling? The current PM was decided on by the Tory membership, without any input from people who are not Tory members. Do you decry this as undemocratic?
The EU's administration is democratic on two levels. MEPs are directly voted for. Are they what you call undemocratic? Commissioners are appointed by the national governments, who are directly voted for. Are they what you call undemocratic? Or are you talking about the EU's civil service?
The current UK government does not have a majority. The head of that government changed last month, in a process that did not involve the UK citizenry. The cabinet of that UK government was chosen by the new PM, in a process that did not involve the UK citizenry. While that was going on, the country was kept running by the civil service, in a process that did not involve the UK citizenry.
Brexiteer: "You're trolling."
My point to IA, PFH, rory and other Leavers: we're leaving without a deal on 31st October because of your decision. You won. We lost. Own the result and its consequences. What happens after 31st October is your responsibility. Stop trying to spread that responsibility.
Ironically you're trolling when you make a couple of unrelated statements and then end with "you're trolling".
When did the people who the EU "represents" have a choice whether they wanted the EU to exist? Every single referendum was a "no" and every time they changed the rules.
Did you have the problem with the UK PM changing previously in the same way? I can't recall this being an issue.
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As soon as you accept that to get to this point of leaving we've had to have 30 years of membership with increasing integration, the establishment of a bank, a currency and so on without asking the populace.
In short, I accept the consequences of fixing the system you allowed to form with no democratic mandate.
~:smoking:
Prior to the All-UK backstop the EU wanted an Ireland-only one.
As regards the GFA agreement - the backstop is not required by the GFA. As I notes several pages ago, the GFA only prohibits "militarisation" of the border, not the border per se. True, it does not envisage the UK leaving the EU but that's hardly anyone's fault - the political situation hans changed - and the UK's leaving was ultimately inevitable.
On the other hand the GFA does require co-operation on the movement of people and livestock across the border. With the EU and Ireland no longer being willing to even discuss a deal that co-operation is set to end. Remember that the EU also offered a shorter extension than expected - to End of October rather than December.