Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh
It's semi-scripted, particularly on some difficulty settings, that certain neighbors are always ready to go to war with you on the slightest pretext. The game's AI is always seeking a way to get you in a 3 front war when you have resources for two armies, a 4 front war when you have resources for 3 full stacks etc. The goal is to force you to do the heroic "Napoleon defeats 3 separate armiesin one campaign" thing to up the challenge factor.
Given the AI's tactical "prowess" it barely creates enough of a challenge as is.
SO....
take the trade rights, assume war starts w/ Thrace within 5 turns and plan accordingly.