Mafia status as of N12:
--Stracci. Don: Omanes A. (dead), Luca: Dutch Guy (dead), Made: Andres (dead), NorthNovas (dead), Former associated wise guy: LouisVI (dead), associated wise guys or mades: Tran (dead), Gibsonsg. Calling Card: Pink ballet slippers. Victims: Drisos (detective, N1), Pannonian (wise guy, N3), Motep (wise guy, N5), Louis VI (presumed wise guy, N6), attempted hits on GH (N2, N3), Proletariat (N4), Craterus (N6), Sasaki (N7), Brave Sir Robin (N7).
--Corleone. (possibly Italian destiny mafia) Don: Unknown, Luca: Unknown, Made: Tiberius of the Drake (dead). Have called for a mafia truce through Tiberius and TosaInu.
--Tataglia. Don: Unknown, Luca: Makanyane (dead), Made: FactionHeir (dead), Made or associated wise guy: CountArach. Calling Card: Rose and a preference for explosives. Victims: Zorg (wise guy, N3), Moros (N4, wise guy or wolf-type character), Chimpyang (townie, N5, black rose), Lt. Pinard (townie, N6), Haudegen (wise guy, N9), LittleGrizzly (surgeon, N10), attempted hits on CR (N6, white rose), Elite Ferret (N12), possible attempted hit on Proletariat (N4). Have responded to the Corleones' call for truce, according to TosaInu's second relayed communication. If this is the case, the Corleones may well be the Italian destiny mafia.
--Barzini. (Rose group according to Louis), associated wise guy/made: Ichigo (dead, Barzini according to Louis)
--Cunnio.
Religious Weather Balloon group. Don: Unknown, Luca: Unknown, Made: Unknown. Calling Card: Weather balloons and religious paraphernalia. Victims: Glenn (crusader?, N3), Beefy (townie, N3), The Stranger (townie, N3), GH (wise guy, N4), attempted hits on Glenn (N2) and Proletariat (N4, N5, N6?). This family made an explosive entrance on night 3, but seems to have been a one-night wonder. Based on Hiji's postmortem, he may be involved with this group or entirely responsible for these kills.
Italian Destiny group. Don: Unknown, Luca: Unknown, Made: Unknown, associated wise guys if any: unknown. Calling Card: an Italian phrase (destiny is inexorable). Victims: Kamikhaan (townie, N5), ajaxfetish (townie, N6), Husar (townie, N7), Sarathos (mafia wise guy, N8), Cowhead418 (detective, N10), Myrddraal (N11), Brave Sir Robin (N12). This group has no known failures as of yet, so a very high batting average for them.
Omanes suspected Sigurd to be the don of the Barzinis, JimBob asserted he was the don of the Corleones. Sigurd claimed to be the King of Hearts hitman. Sigurd's post-mortem has shown he was indeed a mafia don, but has not established his family.
TinCow has accused Sasaki of being a mafia don managing the actions of the rose group and/or Italian destiny group. Sasaki has counter-accused TinCow of once again trying to enter/setup a mafia family and betray the town.
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Musings:
Lone killers with calling cards or consistent modi operandi
--Rogue Detective: KukriKhan. A pro-town rogue killer. Using a powerful .577 Webley he shot Kommodus (luca, N4), Woad&Fangs (wise guy, N5), and Makanyane (luca, N8). He has offered to lead the town's continuing defense against the mafia.
--King of Hearts Hitman: Unknown. Another lone killer is operating, using knives and leaving King of Hearts playing cards. He participated in killing Woad & Fangs (wise guy, N5) and Louis VI (presumed wise guy, N6), and attempted a kill on TinCow (N7). Sigurd falsely claimed to have this role.
--Ashanderei: Twilightblade. Yet another solo attacker, but without any successful kills as yet. Attempted hits on Proletariat (N9), Elite Ferret (N10), and Myrddraal (N11). This attacker was revealed as Twilightblade during his unsuccessful attack on Myrddraal. TB's defense, in PM to Sasaki, was that he is a bored player doing solo vig hits knowing that they'll fail. Based on his three solo failures and lack of successful kills, this explanation is at least plausible. According to the rules, solo townies run the risk of dying in a vig attempt, solo wise guys or mafia a risk of being identified.
--Society for Creative Anachronism. This townie vigilante organization was coordinated by JimBob starting on N5 and led by TinCow, especially after JimBob's inactivity began. With TinCow's death, townie leadership has shifted from the SCA to Kukrikhan. Successful hits on FactionHeir (made, N6), Northnovas (made, N7), Tran (mafia wise guy, N8), Ichigo (made, N10), Warluster (N11). Failed hits on Tran (N5)-not enough pms, Twilightblade (N5)-not enough pms, Tran (N7)-apparently luck, Ichigo (N9)-not enough pms, Charge (N9)-apparently luck.
CR is confirmed as the FBI detective and Cowhead as a regular detective. Their results can be trusted, especially CR's as he posted them himself. This is also further incrimination for those who voted CR, especially Kagemusha, Leet Eriksson, and CountArach (CountArach and Kagemusha also voted for Xdeathfire over Dutch Guy and for Tincow, Leet Eriksson also for TinCow).
JimBob was WoGged. His inactivity outlasted Seamus patience. Jubal Barca WoGged along with him.
In addition to TinCow's suspicions of sabotage and his voting record, CountArach was unmasked today as a result of a solo mafia kill attempt on Elite Ferret. He needs to die.
Looks like KukriKhan got 'blocked' last night. He was fortunately protected, and unless he gets selected as director will require further protection, but I don't think we can expect any investigation results from him for last night. Any previous results he has compiled would be most welcome if he is willing to share.
Brave Sir Robin is one more successful hit by the Italian destiny family.
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Detective results:
Cowhead418 (via TinCow, N5 & N6 also via a further anonymous intermediary), regular detective
N1: pevergreen = criminal (lynched D2, wise guy, accurate)
N1: The Stranger = innocent (murdered N3, townie, accurate)
N2: Glenn = innocent (murdered N3, crusader?, probably accurate)
N2: Crazed Rabbit = innocent (lynched D10, FBI agent, accurate)
N3: charge = criminal (lynched D11, results pending)
N3: ajaxfetish = innocent (murdered N6, townie, accurate)
N4: Proletariat = innocent (still alive)
N4: Twilightblade = criminal (still alive)
N5: Rhythmic = innocent (murdered N5, townie, accurate)
N5: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, results pending)
N6: norwegian nerd = innocent (still alive)
N6: FactionHeir = criminal (murdered N6, made, accurate)
CR, FBI detective
N1: Andres = guilty (lynched D5, made, murdered Drisos N1, accurate)
N1: Proletariat = innocent (still alive)
N2: GeneralHankerchief = criminal, wise guy (murdered N4, wise guy, accurate)
N2: Moros = criminal (murdered N4, wise guy or shadow, accurate)
N3: Twilightblade = criminal (still alive)
N3: Makanyane = guilty (murdered N8, luca, must have murdered on N3)
N4: FactionHeir = guilty (murdered N6, made, must have murdered on N4)
N4: Hiji = guilty (lynched D9, townie but with anomalies, must have killed someone by N4)
N5: Joe Monks = criminal (still alive)
N5: Makanyane = guilty N5, Tataglia Luca from outset of game. (murdered N8, luca, must have murdered on N5)
N6: LittleGrizzly = innocent (murdered N10, surgeon, accurate)
N6: norwegian nerd = innocent (still alive)
N7: Roadkill = innocent (WoGged N9, townie, accurate)
N7: Warluster = criminal (murdered N11, results pending)
N8: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, results pending)
N8: Ironside = innocent (still alive)
KukriKhan, claimed as Rogue Detective
N1: pevergreen = criminal (lynched D2, wise guy, accurate)
N1: woad&fangs = criminal (murdered N5 by Kukri, wise guy, accurate)
N2: Kommodus = criminal (murdered N4 by Kukri, luca, accurate)
N2: Ichigo = unclear (murdered N10, made, accurate)
N3: AlexanderthePrettyGood = no result obtained; PM mix-up
N3: Myrddraal = innocent (murdered N11, results pending)
N3: Crazed Rabbit = innocent (bonus, unrequested result; PM mix-up) (lynched D10, FBI agent, accurate)
N6: Makayane = guilty (murdered N8 by Kukri, luca, must have murdered on N6)
N6: Craterus = innocent (still alive)
N7: Ironside = innocent (still alive)
N7: DracoLeman = innocent (WoGged N11, results pending)
N9: TinCow = criminal (lynched D12, results pending)
N9: CountArach = guilty (still alive, must have murdered on N9)
N10: Warluster = criminal (murdered N11, results pending)
N10: scottishranger = criminal (still alive)
N11: TruePraetorian = criminal (still alive)
N11: XehhII = guilty (still alive, must have murdered on N11)
N12: Caius = failure
N12: gibsonsg91921= failure
Victims N3, N4, and N5
--Makanyane guilty N3: taka (I think that was TinCow's old wise guy group (with GH, gibsong, and ?NorthNovas? Didn't he claim that?), Beefy (balloon mafia), Zorg (rose mafia), Pannonian (Straccis), the Stranger (balloon mafia), Glenn (balloon mafia).
--FactionHeir guilty N4: Kommodus (Rogue Detective), Moros (rose mafia), Xiahou (no calling card).
--Makanyane guilty N5: Kamikhaan (Italian destiny mafia), Chimpyang (rose mafia), Motep (Straccis), Rhythmic (no calling card), Woad & Fangs (King of Hearts hitman).
--Makanyane guilty N6: Lt. Pinard (rose mafia), FactionHeir (SCA), Louis (Straccis/King of Hearts), ajaxfetish (Italian destiny mafia)
--CountArach guilty N9: Haudegen (rose mafia)
--XehhII guilty N11: Warluster (SCA), Myrddraal (Italian destiny mafia)
Makanyane must have been part of the rose mafia. Based on CR's claim that she was the Tataglia luca, the Tataglias are the rose mafia.
FactionHeir must (1) have been part of the rose mafia, or (2) have been part of the ?vigilante group? that killed Xiahou. As a made, the rose mafia is more likely.
Count Arach must (1) be in the rose mafia, or (2) be only a wise guy and have murdered by N9). I suspect he's a Tataglia. Ichigo probably was, too, based on the failed hit on him CA was supposed to be helping with and fellow SCA member Haudegen's death that same night.
XehhII must (1) be in the SCA, or (2) be in the Italian destiny mafia.
Summary of the living based on detective results.
Innocent (pro-town or don): Proletariat (Cowhead & CR), norwegian nerd (Cowhead & CR), Ironside (CR & Kukri), Craterus (Kukri)
Criminal (wise guy or mafia): Twilightblade (Cowhead & CR), Joe Monks (CR), scottishranger (Kukri), True Praetorian (Kukri)
Guilty (townie, wise guy, or mafia killer): CountArach (Kukri), XehhII (Kukri)
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Post-mortem results:
25 pro-town
Townie: Lord Winter, Beefy, taka, the Stranger, FahadI, killfr3nzy, Sapi, Xiahou, Rhythmic, molonthegreat, Chimpyang, Kamikhaan, ajaxfetish, Lt. Pinard, Husar, JohnHughThom, Roadkill, Alexander the Pretty Good, Hiji (though his post-mortem is very suspicious)
Detective: Drisos, Cowhead418
FBI Debective: Crazed Rabbit
Surgeon: LittleGrizzly
Crusader?: Glenn, Rob the Celt
15 neutral
Wise Guy: Pevergreen, Hannibal, Pannonian, Zorg, GH, x-Danger, Moros (though Moros may be an unaffiliated mafia member), Motep, WarmasterHorus, Woad&Fangs, Xdeathfire, LouisVI (though Seamus write-up was not specific on his starting role), EMFM (I'm not sure where exactly to put him, so he goes neutral for now), Haudegen, BKS
12 mafia
Affiliated Wise Guy: Tran (Stracci), Sarathos (family unknown)
Made: Tiberius (Corleone), Andres (Stracci), FactionHeir (family unknown), NorthNovas (Stracci), Ichigo (family unknown, possibly Barzini)
Luca: Kommodus (family unknown), Dutch Guy (Stracci), Makanyane (Tataglia)
Don: Omanes (Stracchi), Sigurd (family unknown)
Ajax