Well that's ominous, and certainly not boosting my confidence that you are town. Also, go to bed.
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ATPG delirious, man how beautiful. This can only become more glorious.
Anyone around? Thoughts on the game so far/ the arguments against me?
csargo, pizza, jowy all town
cs excellent tone, reads i agree with, feels right during discussion with atpg
pizza fairly similar, agree with csargo that i disagree with pizza on barto
jowy a nice free-flowing game BUT going in the right directions, has a mildly cocksure aura to him that i like
HOWEVER
i also kinda think dp is town
i think he's being pushed for bad reasons, and i like his responses
he's reacting in a towny way, exactly like i'd expect, i think he'd be a bit more deflecting contrasted with some aggressive posts
here it just feels pretty natural
with that in mind i'm not putting aside the option of something like pizza scum ?maybe csargo? in there and possibly another person i townread
as of right now again i do like all of the listed
would most like to lynch monty, curious what you people, including dp, have to say about him
struggling a little to find wolves as of right now which is why i'm sideeying my townreads
but eh we'll see
Cuth, what are your thoughts on El Barto in more detail?
Also, I'd probably not call me cs, if that's what you were referring to. That's mildly confusing with a Csargo in the game.
since i said that pivoted a little
i don't know exactly how to feel about him
i'm not a HUGE fan of the dp vote from him, buut at the same time it's gutsy as scum
i have no real idea how to read him in general though
so imo wait until some people around interactions with him flip
or something
and i was actually talking about csargo, not you
sorry
He's been better since like partway through the interaction with pizza, but a lot of his earlier posts pinged me as scummy. The spam argument, question to me, early back and forth with Pizza were all questionable. Think the latter part of his iso is better, but that doesn't make me want to move my vote. I wouldn't put Monty, C_S, or anyone else are more scummy than Dp101 at this point in the game. Could be that I'm just wrong though, wouldn't be the first time. The feeling in my gut is strong Cuth, real strong.
This is how far the multiquoting limit let me go for this post. Halfway through the thread I think.
I think I agree.
"You" here is Jowy, right? Oh, reading on, it's referring to Logic. Meh. I think Jowy is townier tbh.
Oh, interesting that you did have an actual reason for that read. I was wondering what it could be.
Maybe, but he promised in the signup thread that he would do better. Actually he'd probably be more inclined to follow up on that promise as scum than as town.
Not impressed by Csargo, see below, but I really like Crimson's style.
Not being able to produce any reads except townreading your accuser is a red flag.
After following Dp's day 1 mafia play in the championship game I've lost some faith in my ability to tone read him. I'd like to think he should be an easy read eventually though.
I disagree. He changes up his style and tends to be very active, but he doesn't play the helpful townie much. PIS?
I thought I had a quote on Csargo saying Dp101 was the strongest scum read by far so far, to which my kneejerk reaction was "no way". Although after gathering my thoughts so far, it's not such an outrageous statement.
I'll continue catching up in a bit, need to get some work done also.
Okay I read the rest of the thread. I kind of agree that Dp wasn't given much room to breathe there and Crimson pretty much nailed it with his "he could be scum, but it's hard to tell" comment.
To answer Pizza's question from earlier my current top town reads are Crimson and Jowy. Jowy has his normal cocksure persona, as Cuth called it (I think "independent thinker" is a better way to put it), and Crimson just reads townie both in tone and process, really. When someone towns so effortlessly as him you put him in your town list and worry about him being an excellent scum player later.
Notes to self:
Cuth's angle on Monty seems interesting, I should reread that.
Also reread Champ's entrance to the thread to see if Pizza's read makes sense.
So in a game with Self-meta analysis, meta analysis, and analysis of one's self meta. I'm just kind of trying to muddle through the white noise. It's probably very useful to those here.
That being said a couple of things did stand out.
In a vacuum that I currently find myself in this has been the scummiest single post I've seen so far. I know it was addressed later as DP trying to say that he was trying to prove that he was thinking about it and was pre-thinking of arguments and counter points, which I still think is a bad explanation for the post. If he just stopped with the discussion about him being a powerwolf, and the forum meta read, I would have been fine. Maybe attributing to what I think when I'm scum is unfair, but pre planning answers to arguments is not something I tend to do if my intentions are good. Also a pre-emptive NK analysis seems suspect too.
In the end it did feel like DP put a lot of thought into this post, but more thought then was necessary.
Here's something to break up the post and to separate the thoughts.
https://img.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeed-st...10468754-2.gif
The second thing that stands out to me is Barto's pressure of me and subsequent ignorance of it, even after I addressed it in a non-commital, half confrontational way. Early pressure and votes seem to be a rather important part of the meta here. So I kind of have a question that i hope doesn't get lost in this wall of text that's forming. With new players, how likely is a null read lynch likely to happen? Is it kind of a courtesy policy to not lynch a new player in that situation?
If the answer is yes to this question, would a town not reroll for pressure? Further if Bart is scum, it's an easy vote to place knowing it won't get much traction and likely little information, but still appears like he's participating by deliberately picking a weak vote on a not likely to be lynched target.
If he kept pressuring me after my response I'd feel better about this interaction. Playing the helpful townie explaining how the pressure works here, asking if I'm just not going to respond to pressure, are just two options I would have liked to have seen among many. There's a precedent for players not responding to early pressure that has already been stated in thread, but with no meta to read on me there's no way he'd know this. Instead of pushing more, he ignores the interaction entirely then votes for low hanging fruit with some built-in cover. (The Cover being CSARGO and ASTPG who I have slight town reads for different reasons...ASTPG mainly for his insistence that he was going to bed and then not actually going to bed and still posting in thread).
SOOOOOOO
Vote: El Barto
With Bart voting for him, I think DP is likely telling the truth about being unable to participate and just made a bad post (from my perspective), and Barto is trying to cash in on the opportunity to get in some low information participation votes early.
I'm not that at home on this forum, but I would venture that the answer is "sort of". It's like on most forums I guess, in that people try to give the new guy a chance, but when it comes down to it they end up as the default lynch anyway. That's how it is on RealmsBeyond at least, where I've played most of my games.
Fact checking, that's not what he did, though?
He gives a reason, namely tone - which is all we've got at this point, according to him. Where's the joke?
I'm going to Vote: Cuthilius for that misrepresentation of Monty, for lack of better ideas.
So as the basis for my read, does him rolling a random new guy for pressure give you any useful information? Do you think the answer is enough for me to reassess my read?
As for Cuth: I'm a stickler for misrepresentation usually but Cut's post didn't ping me as misrepresentation when I read it. I'll grant that I didn't look back at Monty and DP's interaction though.
Ok after sleep and a quick re-read of the whole game, these are my contrarian thoughts.
What is so towny about Jowy? Help me out here. I'm not seeing it. Lot of people saying Jowy is townie but I didn't see anything alignment indicative to me. So someone knows something about Jowy that I don't. Sell me if you're selling.
My feeling about csargo was that I liked his methods and style and risk-taking this game, but I cannot say he's especially towny.
In fact, if dp101 is town especially, I feel like csargo could be taking advantage of my friendly posture towards him in recent games, knowing that I am a csargo fan and want to see him town well.
At least, that's the unspoken vibe I'm getting.
I don't have a specifically scum read on him, no case, I just feel a bit taken for a ride, as a good possibility.
Feel better about Cuth but no strong lean yet. He's not out of any zone.
Monty, no bet. His process and reads across games seem ass-backwards to me, and he's not revealing a lot about himself this game.
So, he'll always be tough to read. But I don't have a scum lean there.
Not comfortable with Novice, not comfortable with Fredwood. Will re-read both.
Not going to get on Winston's case yet or Sooh's or Auto's or BSmith's for not posting much yet.
This game and this site too casual to press on that kind of thing, so enjoy your free round. I want to see a process I can understand, and 4 townies and a scum lean by midday D2 from each of you. 2 townies a day is not hard to find.
individual isos now. Free talk whenever I'm done, leave questions for me. No one's here anyway.
I genuinely think Dp is scum, so I make no apologies for pushing/voting him. If I'm wrong, then so be it, but I don't think I am. I also hate the theories pushed by C_S/novice just fyi. This is D1, and the pressure Dp has been under is moderate, but not terribly severe I don't think. Not enough to make a townie post poorly imo, so those arguments make me sad.
Enjoy the paranoia about me though, that's always nice. Gearing up to lynch me tomorrow, or maybe today ATPG? I won't go gently into that good night, so just be warned. Do you see any parallels between this game and the Pokemon one ATPG from me? I don't understand why you're trying to throw shade on me right now, considering in this game, you've got the most experience playing with me. I just find it terribly odd. If you come after me though, at least it'll be fun.
I hope you enjoy the ride ATPG :)
https://i.imgur.com/zF4gpzc.gif
Tally as of post 360:
Lynch votes
3 votes: Dp101 (Csargo, Askthepizzaguy, El Barto)
2 votes: El Barto (crimson_snow, Fredwood)
1 votes: Autolycus (Jowy)
1 votes: Manasi (Champ)
1 votes: Novice (autolycus)
1 votes: Winston Hughes (Logic)
1 votes: Champ (Manasi)
1 votes: Sooh (BSmith)
1 votes: No Lynch (Montmorency)
1 votes: Csargo (Dp101)
1 votes: monty (Cuthillius)
1 votes: Cuthilius (novice)
Voting history:Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Sorry for quotewalls, on mobile.
Not done with isos but this is important for me to get out sooner rather than later
@Logic
I have you as a solid town lean, but here is my one complaint with your iso. Your footprint is very small, focused on one person for very straightforward reasons, and you mentioned you're willing to vote the no lynchers (at the time).
I want to lock you townie. I need more from you because the footprint is too small. Give me as many reads on the individual players and game state as possible. I think I can put you away as lock town on day one if you do, but I'd need to see it first.
most important is why you feel that way. I may / may not care about or agree with the leans themselves.
Almost done with all isos, wanted to respond to this.
No, I don't think I'm considering you for a lynch until near final-whatever. Looking over your iso, I saw much townie-ness that I wasn't feeling in real time because I was focusing my attention elsewhere, and then felt sudden paranoia about you being a power wolf.
The iso is really solid though. Maybe your best town game I've seen in ages.
One thing though, I have a lot of experience playing with you, but I've never been comfortable reading your alignment confidently because you were, for most of those games, a 1 or few post a round player and your footprint is small and your thoughts are focused on few people at a time. You also don't rustle or really react to pressure, so I have no idea how to forcibly read you without your cooperation in most games.
I need a long vote history from you and a chance to "read the room" and see others' attitudes toward you to read you.
Here, after just your d1 iso, I feel confident again. And I don't think I've ever felt that way before.
Not moving my vote on dp. That said it's mercy rule time- I've said what I feel and why and will lynch him today if nothing better. I will talk to him as if I'm considering both universes, but I won't push him with words, just my vote. I also didn't re-iso him because what little he posted since I logged off last wasn't enough to town read him.
In any case, this is the new list, after re-read of whole game, plus isos on everyone.
Sorted leans with changes.
Quote:
--------------------Lock
Askthepizzaguy
--------------------Town
Logic near lock
crimson_snow 85
Csargo- best iso 80 <----moved way up
Cuthillius- 75 <----moved up
--------------------Townish
El Barto- 55 <----moved up
Manasi- 50
--------------------Maybe not scum
Montmorency- neutral
Champ- not wolfy (read of town is thinner compared to better info/stronger reads.)
--------------------Null range
Winston Hughes- null
Sooh- null
autolycus- null
BSmith- null
--------------------Bit wolfy
novice- mixed, bit wolfy. <---down
Fredwood- not great <---down
--------------------Wolfy
Jowy <---down
Dp101 <---no improvement
--------------------Must die
Not that confident yet
Csargo- only the posts with content that gave me any reaction.
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Conclusion: Feels good, man.
Manasi- only the posts that gave me feels.
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Conclusion: feels town, but not a lock.
Let's see: I didn't think you had much of a point because I thought you were just referring to a random opening vote, but he does indeed follow up with specifically asking you to respond to the vote, which you then brush off.
So I'd say El Barto's later switch to Dp without further comment warrants an explanation from El Barto, yes. Enough for a vote? Sure, on day 1.
El barto- going from scum to town lean
Conclusion: Mixed feelings, but I feel a lot better about his town possibilities.Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Logic
Conclusion: Feels pretty townie. His thought process is very straightforward. Sadly, he's not spreading out very much. That's my only complaint. I could probably lock him up as town with more investment from him.Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Cuthillius- the townie
Conclusion: Think Cuth is playing it town, no scum vibe at all.Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Champ- not shining as bright as my other stars, but not wolfy yet
Conclusion: Town read on him is a lot more null at this point.Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
I have no problem telling people why I think X and Y are townies, and pushing my suspect, but that's as much of my notes and isos as I feel comfortable revealing this early.
Do an iso on jowy and tell me your opinions, anyone. Do you see what I saw or what townie-ness do you see? Point me at it. I've asked this before.
Monty reads not necessarily scummy but not townie either. 3p/Sk selfish non-neutral.
Some ISO'ing of my own then. Jowy just seems to the point, although I see now that he pocketed me nicely with his first few posts.
To the point:
Pocketing me by voting my voter:
Pocketing:
To the point:
To the point:
Mindmeld:
To the point:
These next two post are exactly what I would have been thinking and doing at that point if I has been awake. Well, except I wouldn't have picked Autolycus as an alternative.
To the point:
This is one of the fastest org games I've ever played sos.
Anything worth catching up on? I skimmed through ATPG isos.
Official Tally as of #389
----
Day 1 ends in:
----
3 Dp101 (Csargo, Askthepizzaguy, El Barto)
2 El Barto (crimson_snow, Fredwood)
1 Askthepizzaguy (Montmorency)
1 autolycus (Jowy)
1 Champ (Manasi)
1 Csargo (Dp101)
1 Cuthillius (novice)
1 Manasi (Champ)
1 Montmorency (Cuth) [edit: fixed]
1 novice (autolycus)
1 Sooh (BSmith)
1 Winston Hughes (Logic)
----
Not Voting: @Sooh and @Winston Hughes -- reminder to vote before eod
Not Posting: (everyone has posted :2thumbsup:)
----
If you notice anything wrong, PM me.
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showt...post2053751825
meta of dp scum.
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showt...post2053751845
taunty
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showt...post2053751852
Doesn't match the above 2 posts. Bit wolfy.
Let me grab them for easier visibility.
tl;Dr @Manasi
Dp101 is scum, you're welcome.
It's beautiful up here.
This is not the only place in Jowy's iso where he says one thing but does another.
The other big issue I have is he's asking Auto a ton of questions, after being told that Auto won't respond to pressure, then encourages people to pile up on him without waiting for answers.
That means he's got an agenda, and his process is for show, not something he's doing to solve the game from a zero info standpoint.
His process does not match his behavior, therefore, he's scum.
Now, beyond his superficial acting ability, I want to know where all the town reads on him came from.
Some people have better meta and experience with Jowy than me, which is all of zero.
If this read is wrong and this is how he usually is, you gotta tell me. Because he can be lynched anytime of anyday.
Any specific reason for the "not good" read? I mean Dp piled onto your vague read as well with no chance to address what's scummy.
I mean is it the reaction test, the asking a questions about the Day 1 lynch meta, my read on Bart, stating things that stood out to me? I mean, it's cool that you read me bad, but you're also not giving me a chance to say anything about what you think is bad. Or is it just vague and indefensible at this point, I mean I"m not really getting blow back on the bart thing telling me I'm wrong either, so (shrug) I guess.
I would leave Dp101 alone today and lynch somewhere else.
Barto / Logic / Champ / Montmorency out of those who have been around.