Originally Posted by Kommodus
Guys... the mafia tend to love it when all attention is focused on one or two people in the early rounds. This enables them to easily slide by under the radar. CNII was a great example of this.
Everyone's focused on Pannonian and TS, but I think P is legit. I'm not so sure about TS yet, but I'll have to revisit that later.
So why don't we try a different angle? I've noticed something that strikes me as a bit curious.
I touched off a bandwagon on Tran that resulted in his lynching last round. A lot of the people who voted for him simply said they agreed with my logic. Flattering as that may seem, I have good reasons for not responding well to flattery in this game. Mafiosi often like to court the favor of influential players.
Tran logged on after his death and protested his innocence vigorously. It's very possible he was right; in that case my argument would've simply given the mafia an easy chance to bandwagon without attracting suspicion.
Let's consider who voted for Tran:
Kommo
Crazed Rabbit
Orb
Ichigo
Caius
BlackAxe
Discovery1
Discovery1 attracted a lot of immediate suspicion for being the one to put the lynch vote on Tran. I would've expected, therefore, that the mafia would let him live and be lynched. But instead, he was killed. :inquisitive:
Now why would the mafia make that choice? If we believe Tran was mafia, then the people voting for him would look more innocent, especially since BK was one vote away from being lynched. But if we believe Tran was innocent, then the people voting for him are suspect.
By killing disco, the mafia make Tran seem guilty. As an innocent person, disco would certainly not deliberately put the lynch vote on a fellow townie. Therefore, the alibi of those voting for Tran remains intact.
I've reviewed the statements of the above list of players. One in particular stands out to me: BlackAxe3001. I'm not comfortable with his behavior during the last round at all.
First, he puts a pressure vote a GK, then appears upset when he gets no response. When GK does respond, he unvotes, then says this:
But after Caius explains himself and the case against Tran builds, he unvotes and responds to a post by Ichigo thus:
He then remains silent while Tran receives the final few votes needed to seal his fate. But then the backlash starts, and he is named in a post by Xdeathfire. He responds this way:
This is the first thing that really gets my attention. Was it really "obvious" that there was a "dang good" case against Tran? I built the case, and I certainly wouldn't put it that way.
He then gets rather defensive - in my opinion overly so.
But then he renegs and unvotes (too late):
This strikes me as a pretty dramatic and poorly explained change of tone after stating that it was "obvious" that there was a "darn good case" against Tran. BlackAxe could have been feeling a little heat as suspicion turned his way and changed his mind to appease suspicious townspeople.
And then disco was killed, making Tran look guilty and BlackAxe (or someone else) innocent as a result.
Finally, what's up with this?
That looks scummy to me...
Vote: BlackAxe3001
EDIT: Tally
TheStranger 3 (Blackaxe, Ichi, TS)
Pannonian 3 (Roadkill, Orb, Stig)
Roadkill 1 (Sapi)
Warluster 1 (Stig)
Omanes 1 (Redleg)
Redleg 1 (ByzKnight)
BlackAxe 1 (Kommo)