Well Bernie is no longer a Social Democrat, he's shifted to full-on Socialist after Warren took the Social Democrat spot. So, not very electable in the US, now.
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For the first time ever (?), Mexico was the US top trade partner in 2019. China was knocked to third after a decline of ~$100 billion in trade from 2018, because trade war.
Story of a CBP (Customs & Border Protection) officer who discovered he was not a US citizen after all (his father had arranged a fraudulent US birth certificate and never told him), and what followed:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...tation/606418/
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Quote:
As a child, he’d admired immigration agents’ crisp uniforms and air of authority. When he grew into a teenager, though, agents began to question him more aggressively, doubting his citizenship despite his Texas-issued birth certificate. He chalked it up to simple prejudice, no different from the white students at Sharyland High who provoked him to fistfights by calling him “wetback.” He decided he’d defy their stereotypes by one day becoming an agent himself. He would enforce the law, but without demeaning people as he did it.
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His co-workers told him he looked like an undocumented immigrant, and they nicknamed him “la nutria,” after an invasive aquatic rodent that swims the Rio Grande—but now he was in on the joke. After long shifts, Rodriguez and his buddies would hang out together, drinking beer late into the night in the bridge parking lot.
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Any parent could see the separations were inhumane, Rodriguez told me. Someone in Washington had taken the crackdown too far. But what could he do, as a nobody on the bridge? He told trainee officers, “Leave your heart at home.” He focused on his sense of duty and followed orders.
As the uproar over family separations engulfed the Trump administration, Rodriguez sat before a pair of investigators in a dim room with a one-way mirror, facing a crisis of his own. They showed him a document filled out in longhand with his and his parents’ names. The header read acta de nacimiento—a certificate of birth, issued in the Mexican state of Tamaulipas. It was evidence, they said, that Rodriguez had been born in Mexico, not the United States. “Do you recognize this?”
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Rodriguez now had no legal status in the country, and was fired from Customs and Border Protection for failing to meet a basic condition of employment: U.S. citizenship.
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A few hours later, still stunned by his father’s confession, Rodriguez placed an urgent call to his own son from his first marriage, Raul Rodriguez Jr.
Raul Jr. was inspecting a home for insect and rodent infestations when he received his father’s call. At 27, he was working at a pest-control company in hopes of moving his three young kids out of an apartment in Los Fresnos, Texas, and had just landed an interview for a job with U.S. Customs and Border Protection.
He went to his father’s house, where he found his father and his stepmother, Anita, looking ashen. They had set out a chair for him. He thought his father might have a serious illness. Rodriguez began to tell Raul Jr. about the midwife, the acta, and Margarito’s confession. Raul Jr.’s disbelief gave way to panic when his father explained that he, too, would likely lose his citizenship.
In 1990, Rodriguez’s first wife, who was a Mexican citizen, gave birth to Raul Jr. in Matamoros. Though he was born in Mexico, he was American by birth because of his father’s nationality. Raul Jr. later obtained a certificate to prove his “acquired citizenship.” But those papers were based on a fraud. “I don't even know how to describe myself,” Raul Jr. told me. “I don’t know if I'm an illegal or not.” In order to avoid making a false claim to U.S. citizenship—which could have barred him from the country—Raul Jr. returned his certificate of citizenship to the government. He put his application to CBP, and a new house, on hold indefinitely. He applied for a green card through his wife.
While he waits, he, like his father, is at risk of deportation.
Quote:
Former colleagues who noticed Rodriguez’s absence but were not privy to the details of his case figured that he’d been fired for corruption. He’s always been “chueco,” a retired agent named John Garcia told me he overheard someone say at work. Crooked. Just as Rodriguez had once cut ties with his undocumented family members, agents began to avoid eye contact when they saw him in public, at restaurants or the grocery store. “They treat him like he's a pariah,” Anita told me.
Rodriguez’s integrity award sits above the TV where he watches the local news every morning from the treadmill. He spends the rest of the day tending to his sheep, cows, and chickens, rarely leaving his property, because a traffic stop could ultimately lead to deportation. “I don’t have any legal status in the U.S.,” he told me. “I’m deportable.”
Rodriguez and Anita have refinanced their house and raided the kids’ college fund to supplement Anita’s income from her job at the Department of Homeland Security. Fired just shy of retirement, Rodriguez lost his eligibility to receive a $4,400-a-month pension along with his citizenship. Rodriguez feared that the stress of his new reality could lead to divorce.
Quote:
Soon after he was fired, Rodriguez got a large CBP badge tattooed on his left shoulder. A Mexican flag splits the badge into two halves.
He applied to become a lawful permanent resident as the spouse of a U.S. citizen, and was forthright in his interview. Yes, he told the official, he had made a false claim to U.S. citizenship, but only because he hadn’t known the truth. Yes, he had voted in a federal election as an undocumented immigrant. He expected no special treatment, just the pension, health benefits, and safety from deportation he felt he’d earned through his nearly two decades at CBP. With some patience, he was confident that he could get his status sorted out. By last fall, he had been waiting for a response for almost a year and a half.
Rodriguez says he can now see the impacts of immigration enforcement that he once preferred to leave unexamined. “I can relate to people who I turned back, people that I deported,” he said. “They call it karma.”
Still, he doesn’t regret his service, and distinguishes himself from other unauthorized immigrants. “There are a lot of people trying to do it the easier way,” he told me. “I just found out, and I’m trying to do it correctly.”
If deported, he would live on family property in Tamaulipas. The State Department’s “Do not travel” warning to U.S. citizens says of the area: “Murder, armed robbery, carjacking, kidnapping, extortion, and sexual assault [are] common along the northern border.” As an agent, Rodriguez had put traffickers in jail, and his face is widely recognizable from his years on the bridge. “I don’t know how long I can survive,” he told me.
Despite those risks, Rodriguez dismissed the idea that he should apply for asylum—a legal pathway to U.S. residence that the Trump administration has sought to eradicate, claiming it is rife with fraud. “I'm not going to do it that way. I'd rather get deported,” Rodriguez said. “I'm going to practice what I preach.”
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odriguez “lives by the rules … and even now he says that if the government chooses to deport him, he's going to go,” Anita said, her voice catching. He would turn himself in before he would hide from ICE. “I can't let that happen. What am I going to do? What are my kids going to do? What is he going to do over there? He's a federal officer.”
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In October, Rodriguez received a letter from Citizenship and Immigration Services. His green-card application had been denied because he had falsely claimed to be an American citizen and illegally voted. The letter argued that Rodriguez did not qualify for leniency, even if he did not know about his status at the time.
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In our interviews, Rodriguez said he understood that the government had to apply the rules to him the way it did to everyone else—his undocumented relatives, his former co-workers, and the boy who drowned under the bridge. But he drew a distinction between how he’d carried out his duties and how officials were handling his case. “I wasn’t being strict; I was just abiding by what the law says,” he told me. “And these people are not doing what the law says.”
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“Apply the right laws, and apply the right rules,” Rodriguez told me. He believed the agency was singling him out unfairly. “Treat me the same—that’s all I want.” His problem might be that it already is.
The lamentable but poetic tale of a kapo living with hardcore internalized racism. Another family destroyed.
https://i.imgur.com/Q7gTsAn.png
Quiet part etc.
https://twitter.com/LisPower1/status...06910462136321
Love these two quotes:
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Trump is afraid of smart people. Trump is very afraid of smart women. Trump is extremely afraid of smart black women.
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Someone who can’t handle a tough question from the press shouldn’t have the nuclear codes.
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President Trump arrives in the Oval Office these days as late as noon, when he is usually in a sour mood after his morning marathon of television.
He has been up in the White House master bedroom as early as 5 a.m. watching Fox News, then CNN, with a dollop of MSNBC thrown in for rage viewing. He makes calls with the TV on in the background, his routine since he first arrived at the White House.
But now there are differences.
The president sees few allies no matter which channel he clicks. He is angry even with Fox, an old security blanket, for not portraying him as he would like to be seen. And he makes time to watch Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo’s briefings from New York, closely monitoring for a sporadic compliment or snipe.
Confined to the White House, the president is isolated from the supporters, visitors, travel and golf that once entertained him, according to more than a dozen administration officials and close advisers who spoke about Mr. Trump’s strange new life. He is tested weekly, as is Vice President Mike Pence, for Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.
The economy — Mr. Trump’s main case for re-election — has imploded. News coverage of his handling of the coronavirus has been overwhelmingly negative as Democrats have condemned him for a lack of empathy, honesty and competence in the face of a pandemic. Even Republicans have criticized Mr. Trump’s briefings as long-winded and his rough handling of critics as unproductive.
His own internal polling shows him sliding in some swing states, a major reason he declared a temporary halt to the issuance of green cards to those outside the United States. The executive order — watered down with loopholes after an uproar from business groups — was aimed at pleasing his political base, people close to him said, and was the kind of move Mr. Trump makes when things feel out of control. Friends who have spoken to him said he seemed unsettled and worried about losing the election.
But the president’s primary focus, advisers said, is assessing how his performance on the virus is measured in the news media, and the extent to which history will blame him.
“He’s frustrated,” said Stephen Moore, an outside economic adviser to Mr. Trump who was the president’s pick to sit on the Federal Reserve Board before his history of sexist comments and lack of child support payments surfaced. “It’s like being hit with a meteor.”
Mr. Trump frequently vents about how he is portrayed. He was enraged by an article this month in which his health secretary, Alex M. Azar II, was said to have warned Mr. Trump in January about the possibility of a pandemic. Mr. Trump was upset that he was being blamed while Mr. Azar was portrayed in a more favorable light, aides said. The president told friends that he assumed Mr. Azar was working the news media to try to save his own reputation at the expense of Mr. Trump’s.
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Aides said the president’s low point was in mid-March, when Mr. Trump, who had dismissed the virus as “one person coming in from China” and no worse than the flu, saw deaths and infections from Covid-19 rising daily. Mike Lindell, a Trump donor campaign surrogate and the chief executive of MyPillow, visited the White House later that month and said the president seemed so glum that Mr. Lindell pulled out his phone to show him a text message from a Democratic-voting friend of his who thought Mr. Trump was doing a good job. Mr. Lindell said Mr. Trump perked up after hearing the praise. “I just wanted to give him a little confidence,” Mr. Lindell said.
The daily White House coronavirus task force briefing is the one portion of the day that Mr. Trump looks forward to, although even Republicans say that the two hours of political attacks, grievances and falsehoods by the president are hurting him politically. Mr. Trump will hear none of it. Aides say he views them as prime-time shows that are the best substitute for the rallies he can no longer attend but craves. Mr. Trump rarely attends the task force meetings that precede the briefings, and he typically does not prepare before he steps in front of the cameras.
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The solution, aides said, came two days later, when Mr. Trump appeared in the Rose Garden to declare a national emergency and answer questions from reporters. As he admonished journalists for asking “nasty” questions, Mr. Trump found the back-and-forth he had been missing. The virus had not been a perfect [Invisible!] enemy — it was impervious to his browbeating — but baiting and attacking reporters energized him.
[...]
When Mr. Trump finishes up 90 or more minutes later, he heads back to the Oval Office to watch the end of the briefings on TV and compare notes with whoever is around from his inner circle. That circle has shrunk significantly as the president, who advisers say is more sensitive to criticism than at nearly any other point in his presidency, has come to rely on only a handful of longtime aides.
[...]
Many friends said they were less likely to call Mr. Trump’s cellphone, assuming he does not want to hear their advice. Those who do reach him said phone calls have grown more clipped: Conversations that used to last 20 minutes now wrap up in three.
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After he is done watching the end of the daily White House briefing — which is held seven days a week and sometimes goes as late as 8 p.m. — Mr. Trump watches television in his private dining room off the Oval Office. Assorted aides who are still around will join him to rehash the day and offer their assessments on the briefings. Comfort food — including French fries and Diet Coke — is readily available.
Lately, aides say, his mood has started to brighten as his administration moves to open the economy. His new line, both in public and in private, is that there is reason to be optimistic.
“And at the end of that tunnel, we see light,” Mr. Trump said in the Rose Garden last week.
If he is not staying late in the West Wing, Mr. Trump occasionally has dinner with his wife, Melania Trump, and their son, Barron, who recently celebrated his 14th birthday at home.
By the end of the day, Mr. Trump turns back to his constant companion, television. Upstairs in the White House private quarters — often in his own bedroom or in a nearby den — he flicks from channel to channel, reviewing his performance.
The failure of this administration will remain a mystery for the ages.
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Donald Trump's temper-tantrum tactics have been explained by the man himself. The frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination admitted to his biographer that, "When I look at myself in the first grade and I look at myself now, I’m basically the same. The temperament is not that different."
How a system was created that led to him as President is the mystery. Few expected him to succeed by almost any metric since apart from the pomp and showmanship it is nothing he particularly enjoys doing.
The Electoral College is a very odd system that I thought had one vestigial purpose and this was to ensure people like Dopey Donald don't get to be nominated since they are patently unfit. They failed this simple test.
~:smoking:
I was pissed off at first that the media was so fawning about the nightly Rocky and Bullwinkle Show, until I realized that Fearless Leader was doing more to hurt himself than all the attention having his mug on the telly was benefiting him. Just wait until some ignoramus tries his bleach tonic and dies (just like the pair in Arizona that tried his chloroquine remedy).Quote:
although even Republicans say that the two hours of political attacks, grievances and falsehoods by the president are hurting him politically
Rock On Donny Baby!!! :thrasher:
Just listened to a few minutes of Mark Steyn subbing for Limbaugh today.
Apparently, the science around the recommended safe distances etc. is arbitrary and science has no ready answer for Covid-19 (Limited truth at best there. What distance is truly safe for COVID? Nobody is sure, but using the guidelines for flu seems as reasonable as any and not arbitrary as the host portrayed it).
The Limbaugh crowd -- now 80+% Trumpite -- seems to be embracing the FIDO plan for dealing with Covid. As in, we have eased hospitals systems through the worst of the first flare ups, the pipelines are starting to ramp up tests, equipment, etc., so stop government mandated safety and let individuals decide for themselves.
I am of mixed thoughts on this. I understand the economic strain is brutal, but ending restrictions entirely -- while it may not overwhelm the medical setup we've been extending for weeks now -- would still push the number of dead into the millions range within the year. I'm reluctant to embrace that casualty rate for obvious reasons.
Radio pundits have less than zero knowledge of science.
70-80% of the population supports a stringent pandemic response (though partisan hackery is surely chiseling away at the number). Most people will not make economic and personal decisions in line with what wealthy far-right degenerates imagine. You can't "open" an economy short of gunpoint. This is all a sick propaganda campaign to try to, by the time the 25% unemployment report comes out for April in early May, prime the Republican electorate to reject social relief measures in favor of chaos. Thankfully, even some of the most loathsome billionaires, such as Sheldon Adelson, understand that the economy can't and won't rebound anytime soon.
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1259954909467869184
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Philip Rucker: You appeared to accuse Obama of the biggest political crime in American history by far ... What crime exactly are you accusing President Obama of committing...?
TRUMP: "Uh, Obamagate."
...
RUCKER: What is the crime exactly, that you're accusing him of?
TRUMP: "You know what the crime is. The crime is very obvious to everybody."
There is a story in the annals of ethology about the research of Niko Tinbergen. He studied herring gull chicks, who evolved to peck the red spots on their mothers' bills, which triggered her regurgitation of food into their mouths. Tinbergen tested the limits of this behavior by presenting chicks with artificial beaks with red spots, which the chicks pecked. Then he presented them with plain sticks painted with red dots; the chicks reportedly gave these more of a response than even the real beaks.
(I may have misremembered some details)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supernormal_stimulus
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A supernormal stimulus or superstimulus is an exaggerated version of a stimulus to which there is an existing response tendency, or any stimulus that elicits a response more strongly than the stimulus for which it evolved.
something something cognitive abstractionQuote:
Tinbergen studied herring gulls, and found the chicks peck at the red spot located on their parent's bill. The offspring targets the red spot due to the contrast of color (stimulus).[4] They do this in order to receive food through regurgitation from the parent.[4] Tinbergen and colleagues developed an experiment that presented different models to chicks and determined their pecking rates.[4] They used different models including an adult herring gull's natural head, a standard wooden model of its head, the bill only, and a red stick with smaller white markings on it.[4] The pecking rate of the chicks were consistent with the natural head, standard head model, and the bill only model.[4] The pecking rate of the chicks increased when presented with the stick model.[4] This suggests that the chicks preferred the dramatic contrast of the red stick with the yellow markings, therefore the artificial stimulus of the stick model was favored over the basic herring gull head and bill models, proving that the artificial stimuli was favored over the naturally occurring stimuli. Following his extensive analysis of the stimulus features that elicited food-begging in the chick of the herring gull, constructed an artificial stimulus consisting of a red knitting needle with three white bands painted around it; this elicited a stronger response than an accurate three-dimensional model of the parent's head (white) and bill (yellow with a red spot).[4]
I found this article by the NY Times, published in Oct 2019, to be fascinating. Perhaps you've already seen it, but if you haven't, it's a hell of a read. How a penultimate con-man became president, and continues to con the American public today. This time, the con is costing the US not only money, but lives.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...red-trump.html
.....right in your own backyard, Monty:creep:
2018, but yeah, we discussed it, this and the story about Trump's declared losses on his income taxes. Like with any number of stories that would end another administration, it dropped and immediately vanished into the void, never again to receive much media attention.
But the New York Times balances it out with stories like these (see if you can spot the tell).
https://www.mediaite.com/online/ny-t...e-experts-say/
https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/202...ence-aide.html
Figured that, but I wasn't about to read through 91 pages of posts:creep:Quote:
2018, but yeah, we discussed it
Five minutes, eh?Quote:
Pshhh, weakling... real men read 91 pages in five minutes
~D
Today the DJIA (Dow) reached around 25000 again. Trump tweeted:
If you're not wondering why I'm posting this, then you may remember...Quote:
Stock Market up BIG, DOW crosses 25,000. S&P 500 over 3000. States should open up ASAP. The Transition to Greatness has started, ahead of schedule. There will be ups and downs, but next year will be one of the best ever!
Attachment 23744
Trump seems to have tweeted about 25,000 on the Dow each time it's happened, without fail.
Does he tweet about it when it goes down to 25,000? :laugh4:
An interesting perspective about why Trump's Twitter should be kept up:
I actually agree with this. However, I think it would be absolutely hilarious if the day Trump leaves office he got kicked off Twitter.Quote:
I want President Donald Trump to stay on Twitter.
That sentence will cause a red mist to cloud many of the eyes reading it, so I will quickly add: President Trump does not have a right to be on Twitter, any more than you or I do. Nor do I think it is healthy for the country or for anyone reading his tweets for the president to remain on Twitter. And I fully understand that Trump views Twitter as an invaluable tool. He clearly loves social media, as well he should: It helped to make him president.
But social media is now also helping to unmake his presidency, and this is all to the good. Whenever he tweets, he burdens his supporters with yet more indefensible remarks, like his macho posturing about sending the National Guard into Minneapolis to shoot rioters. It might be red meat to his base, but it is also a constant jolt of energy to the people who have decided he must be voted out of office.
Overly optimistic as ever.Quote:
But social media is now also helping to unmake his presidency, and this is all to the good. Whenever he tweets, he burdens his supporters with yet more indefensible remarks, like his macho posturing about sending the National Guard into Minneapolis to shoot rioters. It might be red meat to his base, but it is also a constant jolt of energy to the people who have decided he must be voted out of office.
That's not what various polls show....Quote:
Overly optimistic as ever.
......check your favorite one, whichever that is.
Woah, Deja vu all over again. And again. And again. And again.
Whatever.....we shall see come November~:wave:Quote:
Woah, Deja vu all over again. And again. And again. And again.
Dunno about that, Reluctant Samurai. Remember how the polls showed Macron defeating Le Pen and the Dems winning the mid-terms? And then, we all saw what happened... I'm telling ya, the progressive establishment that dominates statistics has been skewing polls to the detriment of conservatives since the October Revolution.
Polls are to be taken with a grain of salt, of course. But polls being dominated by the 'progressive establishment'? Dunno about that....
I was being sarcastic. Macron annihilated Le Pen, while the polls had actually underestimated his popularity.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...rump-ever-was/
Rather my point; 5 whole months to maintain the current state? I dont think we've seen much of anything stay static for 5 whole months in the last 4 years.
It will turn, then it will turn again and again and again until november. It's futile to make a prediction based off a present state this far out. That people keep acting like it will every time they spot a dip does nothing but provide even more levity to this meme:
https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/...53/599/bc9.jpg
2020 isn't 2016.