I picked SD to win the Super Bowl so this may ride against my own interests, but Denver has better coaching than SD, period. When they've won, they've won because of good coaching, and when they've lost they've lost because good coaching can't always make up for a lack of good players. Still, I think Denver is more likely to win a playoff game than SD at this point.
That said, I expect SD to win and get in, and good luck to them. It's worth remembering what path the Giants and Steelers have recently taken to the big game...

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