Bush won Kentucky with 60% of the vote in 2004 and 56% in 2000. Clinton won Kentucky with mid-40% of hte vote in both of his elections. However, Kentucky is a state where Obama is likely to have a lot of racial problems and as such it is unlikely he could ever have won it.
Indiana is currently just about a 50-50 tie. The Republicans won it in all 4 of the last elections quite comfortably. If Obama wins Indiana he will be slightly out-performing the polls, which had the race at about McCain by 2 points.
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