This is a lengthy and typically thoughtful analysis of the tensions in Iraq, from The Economist.
Most interesting for me is the apparent emergence of al-Maliki as a hard man. But in summary, there are so many fault lines repressed by the American presence, no-one is at all sure what will happen.
In short, the new establishment of Shias, Sunnis and Kurds sorely needs to build a sense of nationhood. The withdrawal agreement means that it will soon be for the Iraqis alone to define their destiny. For the next few years the Americans may yet find themselves holding the ring. But once the occupiers have left, the chances that the Iraqis will entrench and cherish a stable, federal, pluralist democracy must still be rated at less than even.
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