The Godfather, Part 3 [Concluded]

[Askthepizzaguy]

I accuse 777Ares777

The spoiler is the complete list of your actions, more or less, in the game. it has not been formatted for easy viewing, so I am going to follow Andres and Tincow's advice and skip down to the HUMANISH version:

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

777Ares777

Page 1: nothing
Page 2: Elected shlin28, made baby-eating jokes.
Page 3: Says that baby leg eaters should commit suicide.
Abstains.
Page 4: Votes glyphz for bad vote reason.
"I would also mention, that some clever mafia point out clues that involve themselves, as if to deflect suspicion on that topic away from themselves, pointing out a clue could be good analyzing or it could be in association with the persons role."
"That would seem scummy, and i would be tempted to vote for sasaki for evening doing that...."
Ares has trouble with proper grammar and spelling.
"Seriously, Tincow, the mistakes were intentional, your name was spelt as tincown, 'n' is the other end of the keyboard than the real last letter, which is 'w' the him mistake working similarly, i don't think it was bad grammar..."
Defends Beefy and talks about the night writeups spelling mistakes.
post 273 the same.
Votes Sasaki instead for trying to save himself. Makes a stink when people ignore that.
Page 5:
Continues hammering Sasaki.
"perry mason? mason? does this suggest we have masons? (a townie pair) maybe the boombox guy and the nude unicyclist are the masons, seeing as that unicyclist keeps being mentioned."
Good analysis.

Again questions Sasaki.

Asks the unicyclist and boombox guy to claim.

Page 6
Votes TinCow
"Mafia would logically kill off the active, so bye bye me, ATPG, tincow and andres "
Nothing else page 6.

Not much page 7.

Nothing page 8.

Comes back page 9 and accuses Ignoramus and YLC.

Accuses me, too.

Gives evidence I might be scum post 704

Votes YLC (defends me for some reason...)

TINCOWS ANALYSIS 745:
"Triple number 111 indicates 777Ares777?"

Not much activity pages 10 and 11.

Defends both people on the chopping block. 805.

Vote: TevashSzat... sucks up to me AFTER suggesting I was scum!

ABSTAINS!

Page 12: Is "convinced I am innocent", yes.


If Ares were the Godfather, he sees his chance at victory here. By sucking up to me and clearing me, he assumes I will overlook him. Good assumption.

Votes tevash again to bandwagon him/ follow me. Something the Godfather would do.

Page 14: Again accuses Sasaki.

Nothing page 15.

Page 16
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showp...postcount=1245

If he were the Godfather, given what happened all game, this is exactly the sort of thing he would post.

"BAH! JUST POSTED LOADS AND MY BROWSER FROZE!
~ from what ive read (and im not bothering with punctuation, the quicker i retype this the better!)

sorry for my unintentional lurking fest

~Seamus did not look suspicious too me at all

~lurkers shouldnt be let off the hook, glyphz and taka, lurkers here, have won as mafia in other games recently via lurking, so top suspects


@pevergreen
why the vendetta against me?

@white eyes
why are you convinced reenk is the boombox guy? i doubt both of the park inhabitants were innocent, could the boombox guy be the godfather?

@ATPG
ylc/pevergreen do not look that innocent to me, why do you continually defend him, with so little evidence? Also I wouldnt want to be chief of police, im not a good boss and I'd hate to have my privilege of voting took away, thanks"

refuses the Chief of Police role. Gives excuse (browser froze) for not doing more. Precisely the same excuse Rythmic gave in Family Guy.

Defends Beefy.

Lazy analysis post 1252

Page 17
Votes glyphz, a lurker.

1351
"Chances are most of the actives, shlin, reenk etc are likely innocent"

Votes Taka. here right before the night phase.

Page 18:
Votes glyphz/lurking.

Early game: Lots of jokes and activity. Has trouble with grammar and spelling. Defends Beefy187 and talks about the game writeups. Begins hammering Sasaki Kojiro. Doesn't let up on him for a while.

Early/middle game:
Activity drops off substantially. He posts once or twice a page, and is absent for long periods. Lazily accuses YLC and Ignoramus, who both turn out to be innocent or 99% innocent.

Accuses me, which is fine. But then he suddenly does an about face and gets a stroke of genius: Defend Askthepizzaguy.

Middle/late game:
Nothing much in activity pages 10 or 11. Is "convinced I am innocent" page 12 (80ppp)

Totally bandwagons TevashSzat and follows my lead completely. At this point he drops below everyone's radar, allowing me to make a giant mess of things while he starts to lurk.

Late game:
Defends beefy some more later... does a lazy analysis post 1252, and starts voting lurkers.

He is very adamant and outspoken about his belief that the heavy posters are innocent (convenient, since he's a heavy poster) and the lurkers must be guilty.



_____________

Activity:
He was here for every single night phase, from my earlier activity report on shlin28... where I wasn't even focused on him! I was very thorough for a reason...

voting pattern:

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

D1 = Sigurd, changed to Shlin.
D2 = abstained but then switched to glyphz and Sasaki
D2 runoff between Ichigo and Seamus = no vote
D3 = Tincow, but switched to Sigurd
D4 = no vote (imputed abstention)
D5 = ylc
D5 runoff between Tevash and Pizza = Tevash, switched to abstain (post Tevash detective reveal)
D6 = Tevash
D7 = no vote (imputed abstention)

he does some bold votes in the early game, but later on he starts abstaining more, and bandwagoning more, and voting for the lurkers.

Analysis: the character of his voting has changed to suit his needs. Instead of doing proper analyses, he sees fit to abstain (less suspicion on him that way) or bandwagon the lurkers or the people I have accused.



Bottom line:

His activity during all the night phases is a tell. His early accuse of me, followed by a sudden reversal, followed by massive amounts of "post-lurking" (lurk, lurk, lurk, quickpost, disappear) shows that he wants to lurk and not gain attention, but not get fingered for lurking. He's made a point of arguing that people who post more are innocent.

Ever since I did my earlier judgment call that he was innocent, he's been basically sucking up to me. He's been gliding through the game with no suspicion on him of note, he's been very active but hasn't contributed that much, especially in the late game where he's been forced to make big decisions which he's backed off from.

From this, if he were the Godfather, his strategy seems obvious. Show up and do your night murders, and lurk during the day, do a lazy post here and there to keep the post count high enough, support the bandwagon on most everyone I've accused, and pick on the lurkers.


Is he scum? This isn't proof. However. If he were the Godfather, this would explain a lot.


Refuses the Chief of Police role. Gives excuse (browser froze) for not doing more. Precisely the same excuse Rythmic gave in Family Guy.


He's never had any real heat on him. His mafia scum partners would probably have avoided mentioning him altogether, and if they did mention him, they never would have gone after him.

He's the top candidate at the moment to be the Godfather.