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I believe Andres is one of the few townie like character left in my eyes, I have a terrible feeling about beefy 
Originally Posted by 777Ares777:
I believe Andres is one of the few townie like character left in my eyes, I have a terrible feeling about beefy
Just make sure you vote in the next round (if there is one).I believe Andres is one of the few townie like character left in my eyes, I have a terrible feeling about beefy
Originally Posted by GeneralHankerchief:
Just make sure you vote in the next round (if there is one).
I'll pre-vote:beefyJust make sure you vote in the next round (if there is one).
if I don't get on in time, sorry
I can't accept pre-votes, but considering this round went a little over-time I may end the night (and thus the next day) later than usual.
Originally Posted by 777Ares777:
I believe Andres is one of the few townie like character left in my eyes, I have a terrible feeling about beefy
I don't feel particularly good about White_Eyes, just a feeling. I believe Andres is one of the few townie like character left in my eyes, I have a terrible feeling about beefy
Well, that proves Curio aren't the Godfather then.
Whatever side Reenk is on, I have to applaud him for the write-ups, nice.
Well, if we haven't slain any mafiosi, they have won. 7 - 2 = 5 with a 3 mafiosi majority. Only the failure to kill 2 townies would reduce this chance. Mafia success chance is 99.99%.
Presuming at least one Associate has been offed, the Godfather and remaining Associate must both survive one further lynch. 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L = 5, 5 - 1m = 4 with a mafia 2-2 tie for the win. Chance of mafia win = 67%. If the Associate is lynched this chance then increases! 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L* = 5, 5 - 1m = 4, 4 - 1l = 3, 3 - 1m = 2, Godfather wins the 1-1 tie. Chance of mafia win in final round = 75%. Overall mafia chances in this scenario = 62.25%
If both associates are dead, the Godfather must survive 2 lynches, including a 4-persons-left finale. 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L = 5, 5 - 1m = 4, 4 - 1l = 3, 3 - 1m = 2, Godfather wins the 1-1 tie Chance of mafia win = 62.25%.
Seireikhaan, your qualms are well founded.
Suggestion to players:
Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
GET THEM TALKING A LOOK FOR THINGS THAT SEEM "OFF."
Presuming at least one Associate has been offed, the Godfather and remaining Associate must both survive one further lynch. 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L = 5, 5 - 1m = 4 with a mafia 2-2 tie for the win. Chance of mafia win = 67%. If the Associate is lynched this chance then increases! 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L* = 5, 5 - 1m = 4, 4 - 1l = 3, 3 - 1m = 2, Godfather wins the 1-1 tie. Chance of mafia win in final round = 75%. Overall mafia chances in this scenario = 62.25%
If both associates are dead, the Godfather must survive 2 lynches, including a 4-persons-left finale. 7 - 1m = 6, 6 - 1L = 5, 5 - 1m = 4, 4 - 1l = 3, 3 - 1m = 2, Godfather wins the 1-1 tie Chance of mafia win = 62.25%.
Seireikhaan, your qualms are well founded.
Suggestion to players:
Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
GET THEM TALKING A LOOK FOR THINGS THAT SEEM "OFF."
Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh:
Suggestion to players:
Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
GET THEM TALKING A LOOK FOR THINGS THAT SEEM "OFF."
No long anaylsis from me, I'll just keep my post short and to the point.Suggestion to players:
Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
GET THEM TALKING A LOOK FOR THINGS THAT SEEM "OFF."
If I were mafia, I'd go for Beefy or White_Eyes next, because everyone else is getting accused and makes better lynch targets.
On the Sasaki issue I am unsure, there's arguments from both sides. Sasaki is keeping his cool and I have little experience interacting with him.
The writeup's basic premise makes no sense considering how the voting went. 
Sorry, I'll try to have one based less on voting patterns next round (was thinking there was going to be a huge landslide against taka when I wrote it).To our analysts out there, this is how I sent the writeup to GH:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
When things looked good (i.e: Andres was looking like he would be lynched) I sent GH a PM saying to change the mention of Andres at the end to Beefy.
And I am very disappointed with you White eyes, to be honest. Not only did you not kill Andres, you killed the only other guy voting for him...
I hope Andres gets you next..
To be fair, the writeup was partially my fault; I had laundry due out of the drier right around the time when voting closed.
Why does this night take so long? I want to know if this ends or not and I want to know it now!
Originally Posted by Andres:
Why does this night take so long? I want to know if this ends or not and I want to know it now!
Sorry, my writeups take a bit longer than your instructions to kill. Why does this night take so long? I want to know if this ends or not and I want to know it now!
Actually, I have a feeling I may be close to getting lynched now
so I'm sending in an alternative writeup should I die. Originally Posted by Andres:
Why does this night take so long? I want to know if this ends or not and I want to know it now!
So do I Why does this night take so long? I want to know if this ends or not and I want to know it now!
and if it doesnt then I want a daytime extention so I have time to vote! 
<<<Originally Posted by Seamus:
Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
Seamus your the only guy I can say with all my suspicions intact....that you were a "confirmed scum" because of this.....Have everybody answer this question: "If I were mafia, who would I murder next?"
And/or have them answer: "Was Sasaki a mafioso, and why?"
Originally Posted by Day 7 lynch:
The next town over, in his office, Vincenzo stood up with a start as a charred figure crashed through his window. Recognizing the body as Seamus's, he raised one eyebrow.
The next town over, in his office, Vincenzo stood up with a start as a charred figure crashed through his window. Recognizing the body as Seamus's, he raised one eyebrow.
Andres; thank you for answering my rebuttal. Now I can see where you are coming from I can understand why you would vote for me. Now if I'd have known that before I could have responded to that... 
Reenk: that was possibly the funniest death scene I have witnessed. I am honoured to have been executed in such a memorable fashion.
Personally I think the town is drifting further up the creek without a paddle... I'd definitely take a closer look at Taka, and possibly Aries. Andres I'm less suspicious of now, as it is true that he could have saved himself at any time after the round end by changing his vote (and consequently reprieving me...).
Reenk: that was possibly the funniest death scene I have witnessed. I am honoured to have been executed in such a memorable fashion.
Personally I think the town is drifting further up the creek without a paddle... I'd definitely take a closer look at Taka, and possibly Aries. Andres I'm less suspicious of now, as it is true that he could have saved himself at any time after the round end by changing his vote (and consequently reprieving me...).
Least it wasn't Andres who was lynched.
If I am mafia, I would go for QJC. I think he'll be a hard player to turn into a lynch.
Andres would be a fine choice along as he always puts up a good fight when his about to get lynched.
Others shouldn't be too hard..
If I am mafia, I would go for QJC. I think he'll be a hard player to turn into a lynch.
Andres would be a fine choice along as he always puts up a good fight when his about to get lynched.
Others shouldn't be too hard..
Originally Posted by White_eyes:D:
Seamus your the only guy I can say with all my suspicions intact....that you were a "confirmed scum" because of this.....
I think you are underestimating our host's sense of playfulness. Believe as you will, but the truth shall show you that I was not a mafioso....this time.Seamus your the only guy I can say with all my suspicions intact....that you were a "confirmed scum" because of this.....
However, even if you presume I am mafia in this game, it does not change the mathematics of the situation nor does it invalidate what I have been calling for.
Originally Posted by GeneralHankerchief:
-edit- This game is now my most popular ever, post-wise. I wonder if we'll beat Midgard.
With the post I am making right now, it does. This game now has the third most replies in the Gameroom, behind Capo I and II. -edit- This game is now my most popular ever, post-wise. I wonder if we'll beat Midgard.
Well, that saves me the embarassment of having to make the announcement myself.
Originally Posted by GeneralHankerchief:
Well, that saves me the embarassment of having to make the announcement myself.
No, please go ahead and brag anyway. As the founder, you've earned that right!Well, that saves me the embarassment of having to make the announcement myself.
Let's compromise: I reserve the right to brag to my heart's desire at the end of the game, doubly so if we hit 2,000.
Originally Posted by GeneralHankerchief:
Let's compromise: I reserve the right to brag to my heart's desire at the end of the game, doubly so if we hit 2,000.
A bit of wishful thinking GH, I doubt the town will spend 400 posts congratulating themselves on finally lynching the godfather, Sr. Curio. Unless...unless... Let's compromise: I reserve the right to brag to my heart's desire at the end of the game, doubly so if we hit 2,000.
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Night 10
There were no kills today. The Godfather was dead, the Gameroom saved. There was much rejoicing all throughout the night.
Just kidding.
777Ares777 was scared out of his mind. The Wanax and the Mafia running around didn't make him feel any better and he could feel the gameroom being ripped apart by the two. He ran to his cabin, up in the Gameroom mountains. He hoped that he could escape from at least one day of craziness, under the new Chief of police and his Wanax. He didn't see that he was being followed by a man in a blue car.
The man in the business suit, quietly whistled to himself as he got out of his blue car and opened a briefcase with parts to a sniper rifle in it. He started assembling it until the last piece "clicked" into place. Then he moved into position and toke aim.
Meanwhile, back in the cabin 777Ares777 was unpacking his things, including, oddly, one juggle ball, as he planned to stay there for a few days. He only saw the man for a split-second but realized that he was aiming at him, from about 500 yards away with a sniper rifle. Very quickly, he jump to the floor and tried to figure out how he could get out of this mess.
The man in the business suit showed no surprise at this, in fact he was planning on it. He carefully switched his aimed for the cabins gas tank, that he placed inside a few hours earlier and pulled the trigger.
777Ares777 only heard a sound like gas leaking from his stove before a large explosion, instantly incinerated him. When the police arrived all they found was, yet another DVD, this one entitled "I had a good song but this will due".
With so much death present in the village, there was nary a sound to be heard. The man with the boombox's tunes, today's being "Tonight, Tonight" by the Smashing Pumpkins, echoed unnaturally throughout the town. In addition, Chief of Police Reenk Roink had no problem summoning everyone to the town square to vote once again.
The mood over the remaining villagers was pretty sober. The aura of death hovered around everybody.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Still alive: (6)
Andres
Quintus.JC
White_eyes:D
Reenk Roink
Beefy187
taka
Killed:
Tratorix
CountArach
seireikhaan
boudica
TinCow
Jolt
Ignoramus
Sasaki Kojiro
Psychonaut
LittleGrizzly
Chaotix27
pevergreen
777Ares777
Executed:
Ichigo
Lord Winter
Sigurd
Askthepizzaguy
TevashSzat
Seamus Fermanagh
shlin28
glyphz
Gaius Scribonius Curio
There were no kills today. The Godfather was dead, the Gameroom saved. There was much rejoicing all throughout the night.
Just kidding.
777Ares777 was scared out of his mind. The Wanax and the Mafia running around didn't make him feel any better and he could feel the gameroom being ripped apart by the two. He ran to his cabin, up in the Gameroom mountains. He hoped that he could escape from at least one day of craziness, under the new Chief of police and his Wanax. He didn't see that he was being followed by a man in a blue car.
The man in the business suit, quietly whistled to himself as he got out of his blue car and opened a briefcase with parts to a sniper rifle in it. He started assembling it until the last piece "clicked" into place. Then he moved into position and toke aim.
Meanwhile, back in the cabin 777Ares777 was unpacking his things, including, oddly, one juggle ball, as he planned to stay there for a few days. He only saw the man for a split-second but realized that he was aiming at him, from about 500 yards away with a sniper rifle. Very quickly, he jump to the floor and tried to figure out how he could get out of this mess.
The man in the business suit showed no surprise at this, in fact he was planning on it. He carefully switched his aimed for the cabins gas tank, that he placed inside a few hours earlier and pulled the trigger.
777Ares777 only heard a sound like gas leaking from his stove before a large explosion, instantly incinerated him. When the police arrived all they found was, yet another DVD, this one entitled "I had a good song but this will due".
With so much death present in the village, there was nary a sound to be heard. The man with the boombox's tunes, today's being "Tonight, Tonight" by the Smashing Pumpkins, echoed unnaturally throughout the town. In addition, Chief of Police Reenk Roink had no problem summoning everyone to the town square to vote once again.
The mood over the remaining villagers was pretty sober. The aura of death hovered around everybody.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Still alive: (6)
Andres
Quintus.JC
White_eyes:D
Reenk Roink
Beefy187
taka
Killed:
Tratorix
CountArach
seireikhaan
boudica
TinCow
Jolt
Ignoramus
Sasaki Kojiro
Psychonaut
LittleGrizzly
Chaotix27
pevergreen
777Ares777
Executed:
Ichigo
Lord Winter
Sigurd
Askthepizzaguy
TevashSzat
Seamus Fermanagh
shlin28
glyphz
Gaius Scribonius Curio
Vote: Andres
I have determined that QJC is probably the Godfather by the way, just seems wrong not to kill Andres after all my campaigning.
I have determined that QJC is probably the Godfather by the way, just seems wrong not to kill Andres after all my campaigning.
Song would indicate that there's two mafia left.
Got a theory, working on it.
Got a theory, working on it.
Because they didn't vote in the last round, taka and 777Ares777 are up for Wrath of God if they don't vote this time. Considering Ares is dead, this only applies to taka.
I still think Reenk would be a good lynch, but lets keep all options open.
Vote : White_Eyes:D
Talk
EDIT : Hmmm, I've gone over your last 10 to 15 or so posts. Most of them are short, with lots of smileys and nothing really substantial. Is this your usual behaviour?
EDIT 2 : You sounded more serious in Chicago Soirée, putting more effort in finding a suspect.
Don't have much time right now. Can someone check Beefy187 ?
I'm thinking Quintus.JC is innocent. taka doesn't strike me as guilty either.
Vote : White_Eyes:D
Talk
EDIT : Hmmm, I've gone over your last 10 to 15 or so posts. Most of them are short, with lots of smileys and nothing really substantial. Is this your usual behaviour?
EDIT 2 : You sounded more serious in Chicago Soirée, putting more effort in finding a suspect.
Don't have much time right now. Can someone check Beefy187 ?
I'm thinking Quintus.JC is innocent. taka doesn't strike me as guilty either.
Originally Posted by Reenk Roink:
Vote: Andres
I have determined that QJC is probably the Godfather by the way, just seems wrong not to kill Andres after all my campaigning.
Let me get this straight. You believe you know who the Godfather is, but you'd prefer to vote for someone else and lose the game?Vote: Andres
I have determined that QJC is probably the Godfather by the way, just seems wrong not to kill Andres after all my campaigning.
Originally Posted by Andres:
I still think Reenk would be a good lynch, but lets keep all options open.
Vote : White_Eyes:D
Talk
Ok, this, combined with RR's post, is absurd. You both toss some scum on each other, but do it in a way that makes it seem unpalatable to the townies. Reenk votes for you, but says he doesn't think you're the Godfather. This is an easy way to keep the town disorganized down to the wire. You then toss some scum on Reenk, but vote for someone else. This just makes you look antagonistic to him, without achieving anything.I still think Reenk would be a good lynch, but lets keep all options open.
Vote : White_Eyes:D
Talk
This looks to me like Reenk Roink and Andres are working together. I agree with Sasaki that the Tonight, Tonight song indicates the game will end tonight. That means 2 mafioso left alive. Based on Andres' near suicidal behavior last round, I would peg Reenk Roink as the Godfather, and Andres as a grunt. Thus, lynch Reenk Roink.
Originally Posted by TinCow:
Ok, this, combined with RR's post, is absurd. You both toss some scum on each other, but do it in a way that makes it seem unpalatable to the townies. Reenk votes for you, but says he doesn't think you're the Godfather. This is an easy way to keep the town disorganized down to the wire. You then toss some scum on Reenk, but vote for someone else. This just makes you look antagonistic to him, without achieving anything.
This looks to me like Reenk Roink and Andres are working together. I agree with Sasaki that the Tonight, Tonight song indicates the game will end tonight. That means 2 mafioso left alive. Based on Andres' near suicidal behavior last round, I would peg Reenk Roink as the Godfather, and Andres as a grunt. Thus, lynch Reenk Roink.
I've been wrong in the past and lost games because I was too stubborn to change my mind over a particular player.Ok, this, combined with RR's post, is absurd. You both toss some scum on each other, but do it in a way that makes it seem unpalatable to the townies. Reenk votes for you, but says he doesn't think you're the Godfather. This is an easy way to keep the town disorganized down to the wire. You then toss some scum on Reenk, but vote for someone else. This just makes you look antagonistic to him, without achieving anything.
This looks to me like Reenk Roink and Andres are working together. I agree with Sasaki that the Tonight, Tonight song indicates the game will end tonight. That means 2 mafioso left alive. Based on Andres' near suicidal behavior last round, I would peg Reenk Roink as the Godfather, and Andres as a grunt. Thus, lynch Reenk Roink.
In Chicago Soirée I vigorously tried to get taka lynched because I was sure he was mafia, and he turned out to be innocent.
Yes, Reenks erratic behaviour and nonsensic voting make him look very scummy, but he usually ends up lynched because of it. It's not what you would expect from a crucial role like the Godfather.
Like I said, I still consider Reenk as a suspect, but for now, I'd like to keep all options open. Besides, votes are easily switched. The day just started. I have 24 hours to unvote and vote Reenk. But first, I want to hear more from White_Eyes:D.
Originally Posted by TinCow:
Let me get this straight. You believe you know who the Godfather is, but you'd prefer to vote for someone else and lose the game?
We have two lynches left.Let me get this straight. You believe you know who the Godfather is, but you'd prefer to vote for someone else and lose the game?
Also, winning is fun, but this is more fun.
Edit: obviously I still believe Andres is probably a Godfather too if QJC is not, and I believe his not voting for me is to set up a scapegoat. I honestly don't see what's so hard about this.
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