Indeed. I admit, we know basically nothing... assumptions are made all the time. If I can rehash and make my opinion a little clearer, and then bow out so as not to destroy your game or your chances of winning:
1. Lord Winter or Sasaki must be Oswald. I can find the post for you where pevergreen said no to Lord Winter over the suicide, publicly, when I don't think he asked publicly. We can check all Lord Winter's posts to be sure.
2. Sasaki showed up at precisely 3:00 AM my time to save himself, which is (perhaps) townie behavior, but judgment call says mafia.
3. He may have been tipped off by one of the 3 people I mentioned.
4. Sasaki (if Oswald) has been accusing LittleGrizzly all game. If LittleGrizzly is the Godfather, I think that deserves a round of applause and the win, but that's my opinion. I like to reward bold play and punish the more predictable play, like lurking and so on.
5. Shinseikhaan survived a hit, and no one claims to be a defender or blocker, and pev confirmed that the English have the same abilities we did. Nothing but murder.
6. General, you've played a bold, bold game by accusing White_eyes. A very risky thing for a Godfather to do when you knew he was innocent by investigation. You may have played the odds too and thought... if I am the Godfather, what are the odds White_eyes is a Godfather? Pretty bad.
You took a huge gamble and lost. And you also exposed yourself to the mafioso as being part of a pro-town network, therefore making you a murder target.
7. El Diablo's contributions don't fly with me. He probably tipped off Sasaki. He cannot be Oswald, and I don't sense townie-ness from him. I've been pretty good at picking roles this game, and I smell a role here. I also smell an english rat...
8. He refused to vote for Sasaki.
I rest my case, feel free to pick it apart, General. Well played game, by all. Masterful performance by Sasaki, and brilliant moves by town with the investigations, which will indeed solve this case, I predict. And I had tons of fun.
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