Hmm.. I always appreciate an attempt at analysis.

The only thing I would suggest is that you do not try drawing lines between characters just yet, if that is what you meant by mentioned Willie, McCallister and Spuckler.
Remember, Willie might be tied to Luigi, but Willie was not tied to the Comic Book Guy.

If there are multiple families I only hope we don't have too many inactive players in this game.. that was the problem in Capo II..
Good job on the lynch though! I am allergic to first-round-lynches!