NTW will probably be a medium success. I hope that it gets little to no sales, and CA will either quit making TW or start doing a good job. ETW 1.5 was "meh" because while the Campaign AI was doing OK (no rabid diplomacy on normal difficulty) and when it went to war, it usually made SOME attempts to fight. They've achieved maybe a fourth of what they could do, but they need to get over the shiny graphics.