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    Voluntary Suspension Voluntary Suspension Philippus Flavius Homovallumus's Avatar
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    Default Re: The United Kingdom Elections 2010

    Quote Originally Posted by tibilicus View Post
    It's a shame that this sort of thinking is rampant when in reality, there is very few countries which have overtaken us. Germany, Japan and China are the only immediate ones which spring to mind.
    Quite, to assume your country is in terminal decline is, basically, to give up.

    Quote Originally Posted by Louis VI the Fat View Post
    Defense spending is public spending. As such, normal left/right impulses apply. What better way to artificially prop up hurting industries, reduce unemployment and subsidise lagging regions, than through defense spending? In recent decades, it has been the left in France and the UK that has done this, and consequently increased actual spending, whereas the right has done the cuts.
    "Actual spending"? You know, the "actual" price of lamb in the UK has increased in recent years, but it's still about 25% of what it was 20 years ago when one factors in inflation and the increase in wealth. Similarly, while the figure in £ of defence spending may have risen, it has fallen as a percentage of GDP, at a time when the country has become more wealthy, tax revenue has risen, and so has inflation. Frankly, it would be virtually impossible not to raise defence spending in "real" terms over such a period, as the armed forces would collapse if you did not.

    So, by any meaninful measure defence spending has fallen.

    The fact is, we spend less than half the percentage of our national wealth on defence than we did 20 years ago, so we can almost certainly afford to spend more (as a percentage of GDP) over the next 20 years.
    "If it wears trousers generally I don't pay attention."

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    TexMec Senior Member Louis VI the Fat's Avatar
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    Post Re: The United Kingdom Elections 2010

    Quote Originally Posted by Philipvs Vallindervs Calicvla View Post
    "Actual spending"? You know, the "actual" price of lamb in the UK has increased in recent years, but it's still about 25% of what it was 20 years ago when one factors in inflation and the increase in wealth. Similarly, while the figure in £ of defence spending may have risen, it has fallen as a percentage of GDP, at a time when the country has become more wealthy, tax revenue has risen, and so has inflation. Frankly, it would be virtually impossible not to raise defence spending in "real" terms over such a period, as the armed forces would collapse if you did not.

    So, by any meaninful measure defence spending has fallen.
    I am afraid this is not correct. By all measures defense spending has increased since 1998, Labour's first full year in power.

    Disregarding inflation, Labour has increased defense spending by fifty percent. This is not the most relevant figure. Better is a measure by constant 2009 pounds, that is, corrected for inflation. By this measure, Labour has increased defense spending by about 25%.

    This enormous increase, incidentally, is almost singular within Europe. In stark contrast to the next three biggest European defense spenders, whose defense spending saw in this period a far smaller increase (France), or even a decrease (Germany, Italy).
    In Western Europe, only Spain and Finland have seen a similarly large increase in defense spending. Spain, because of its long awakening from its dictatorship, and Finland because of the end of Finlandisation and the need to project neutrality.


    Defense spending as a percentage of GDP has mostly been stabilised under Labour. Under Thatcher (especially after 1985) and Major, defense spending as percentage of GDP was severly slashed. Halved.
    Labour put an end to these endless defense spending cuts.


    Don't take my word for it! Use sources:

    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 
    Year GDP- Defence-total
    1980 230.8 13.5
    1981 253.154 14.6
    1982 277.198 16.7
    1983 302.973 16.2
    1984 324.633 17.4
    1985 355.269 19.1
    1986 381.782 20.1
    1987 421.559 20.4
    1988 470.748 20.9
    1989 517.075 21.5
    1990 560.887 23.3
    1991 589.739 24.4
    1992 614.776 26.0
    1993 645.5 26.3
    1994 684.067 26.3
    1995 723.08 25.6
    1996 768.905 24.9
    1997 815.881 25.2
    1998 865.71 24.5
    1999 911.945 26.7
    2000 958.931 27.7
    2001 1003.3 28.8
    2002 1055.79 29.0
    2003 1118.24 29.9
    2004 1184.3 32.3
    2005 1233.98 33.5
    2006 1303.92 35.0
    2007 1343.75 36.3
    2008 1419.55 38.1
    2009 1439 41.9
    2010 1411 43.5
    http://www.ukpublicspending.co.uk/do...color=c&title=


    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 
    Year GDP- (2000) Defence-total
    1980 630.963 36.9
    1981 621.78 35.8
    1982 633.662 38.2
    1983 655.979 35.1
    1984 672.787 36.1
    1985 696.582 37.4
    1986 724.263 38.1
    1987 757.452 36.7
    1988 795.317 35.3
    1989 812.725 33.8
    1990 819.007 34.0
    1991 807.814 33.4
    1992 809.54 34.2
    1993 827.886 33.7
    1994 863.623 33.2
    1995 889.041 31.4
    1996 913.8 29.6
    1997 942.154 29.1
    1998 973.748 27.5
    1999 1003.37 29.4
    2000 1041.52 30.0
    2001 1066.22 30.6
    2002 1088.11 29.9
    2003 1118.24 29.9
    2004 1154.68 31.4
    2005 1175.92 31.9
    2006 1210.29 32.5
    2007 1247.28 33.7
    2008 1256.64 33.7
    2009 1212.66 35.3
    2010 1227.82 37.8


    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 
    Year GDP- Defence-total
    1980 230.8 5.85
    1981 253.154 5.76
    1982 277.198 6.04
    1983 302.973 5.35
    1984 324.633 5.36
    1985 355.269 5.38
    1986 381.782 5.26
    1987 421.559 4.84
    1988 470.748 4.44
    1989 517.075 4.16
    1990 560.887 4.15
    1991 589.739 4.14
    1992 614.776 4.23
    1993 645.5 4.07
    1994 684.067 3.84
    1995 723.08 3.54
    1996 768.905 3.24
    1997 815.881 3.09
    1998 865.71 2.83
    1999 911.945 2.93
    2000 958.931 2.88
    2001 1003.3 2.87
    2002 1055.79 2.75
    2003 1118.24 2.67
    2004 1184.3 2.72
    2005 1233.98 2.71
    2006 1303.92 2.68
    2007 1343.75 2.70
    2008 1419.55 2.68
    2009 1439 2.91
    2010 1411 3.08
    What do these numbers mean? The most acutely relevant measure is defense as percentage of GDP:

    Thatcher came in power in 1979:
    1980 230.8 5.85

    Major came in power in 1990:
    1991 589.739 4.14

    Blair came in power in 1997:
    1998 865.71 2.83

    It is now 2010:
    2010 1411 3.08

    Two things are striking:
    - The defense cuts happened under the Conservatives, whereas Labour stabilised defense spending.
    - The last two Conservative PMs halved British defense spending. The vast majority of this outerworldly decrease happened before the fall of the wall, rubbishing the Tories' perennial excuse.



    I think somebody in this thread said it earlier: Labour hates the military, but increases its funding. The Conservatives profes to love the military, but cut back its funding.


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