Depends on a single big IF: that CDA is willing to join with VVD and PVV. If CDA is sufficiently power hungry not too proud to become a 3rd support beam in a coalition of 2 pillars; then the VVD can muscle itself forward using PVV support or CDA support depending on the particular issue. But it would be a cabinet with only 1 seat majority and therefore may not be exactly quite as stable. That way, Hax could get a voting card for birthday present yet.

IF however CDA either finds humility or is too proud to join with PVV then Rutte will be as much at the mercy of PvdA as PvdA would be at his and he still would need to appease the D66 and Groenlinks voters too. However the end result would be a far more comfortable majority to be able to survive some dissent from within the ranks without creating a deadlock in cabinet over it.