We found that none of the prevailing excuses
for the poor performance of the US health care
system are likely to be valid. On the spending
side, we found that the unusually high medical
spending is associated with worsening, rather
than improving, fifteen-year survival in two
groups for whom medical care is probably im-
portant.
We speculate that the nature of our health care
system—specifically, its reliance on unregulated
fee-for-service and specialty care—may explain
both the increased spending and the relative
deterioration in survival that we observed. If
so, meaningful reform may not only save money
over the long term, it may also save lives.
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