Difficult to base an analysis on round one behavior. Only time I saw behavior-based voting on round one was the ATPG mafia. I believe Sasaki went after Jolt because of the way he reacted to pressure. I do not believe any significant pressure has been applied to anyone yet. I think such analysis will be flawed. Random has the advantage of not being biased and will utterly ignore deceptive tactics.
I'm not sold on Double A; the only reason I am voting him is because that is the best option available to me due to the votes on myself. I would prefer to lynch a candidate which I chose based on nothing in particular; voting someone because of pressure on me is a bad choice. My other options are to ignore it, which I know will leave zero pressure on any actual mafia, or to withdraw my defense and simply accept being the D1 lynch, which I've done in the past and typically adds more to the bandwagon on myself. After lecturing others on the pointlessness of big wagons in the last game, I am loathe to put one on myself round 1 based on old habits.
Instincts tell me odds of lynching scum are lower in the current vote setup where one of the two tied parties can break the tie in his favor. There's just no way that's tactically advantageous to the town. Not much I can do about it here either, except point it out.
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