Answered my own question: at 4 votes chaotix to 2 or so on GE (and none on scienter), Andres switched to Scienter on the basis of a gut feeling, making it 4-1. Khaan went with the gut feeling, and AtPG later switched from Chaotix to Scienter to produce the 3-way tie.

Hmm, not sure. At the moment I'd be roughly equally happy with either Andres or Scienter being lynched.