I'm going to put this in the commentary, but I agree with a few of your sentiments that Day 9 (when Pizza/Anne got lynched) was the critical round for everyone. In games past it seemed like everything would start to fall apart for the bad guys; it was the start of the endgame, there was a serious effort to lynch one of the two mafiosi, and the round was extended, which more often than not means bad news for the mafia. But CR managed to escape and the town just didn't have enough gas left in the tank on Day 10.