Reloading does work; I've seen it happen many times during my testing. Sometimes you get a different result on your first reload, others it takes many goes. So many attempts that you might be convinced it won't work. You don't need to give any other orders, move armies about etc to get the game to spit out a different result; I found it didn't make any appreciable difference. The process I used was quick save, send agent on mission, quick load, send agent on mission, repeat until success or 10 failures, in which case advance to the next agent/turn.
Reloading also changes failure/critical failure. When testing via reloads, sometimes agents would be executed where they'd repeatedly failed and escaped in the previous reloads.
I wouldn't recommend reloading for normal play, though. It's cheesy, and tedious. Those determined to reload should note that if you don't get a different result within the first 5 reloads you will probably be there a very long time before the game spits out a success. I wondered about including this information in the guide, and decided against.
I also did agent tests without reloading at all. It didn't help with the 80%=FAIL thing.
Frogbeastegg's Guide to Total War: Shogun II. Please note that the guide is not up-to-date for the latest patch.
Bookmarks