Maybe the folks who don't like lots of power roles have a point. If you have lots of time (spent about 40 minutes just reading and another 10 typing this) it is possible to figure some things out even this early in the game. Maybe I'm not as useless at vanilla as I thought. Or perhaps this will turn out to be a load of senseless drivel. Anyhow, in the spirit of getting more discussion.
We need to sacrifice the one who is pure. Purity can come in either good or evil form, so we should not use good/evil as a sole indicator of scum.
My reading on Chaotix is that he could have been either SK or scum. This would make more sense within the night writeup than town would.
We can't read the high priest as innocent, at least not for certain. That role might just give flavor to the writeups -- now that the high priest is dead we get less precision with a knife. But the next night will tell us a lot -- if Ishmael wasn't town then either mafia killed sk, or sk killed mafia. Here's where my relatively less experience comes in -- is one of those kill types normally not allowed? I can't remember which one normally can't kill the other. If we have 2 or more kills tonight, then the obvious assumption that Ishmael was innocent is probably correct. And in fact I'm not really saying he wasn't, just keeping the possibility open given the genre.
GH and Lewwyn make a big point about lurkers being more likely to be scum, but hunting lurkers is also a good cover for mafia trying to take control of the lynch. They throw a vote out on a lurker, and if a bandwagon results they are less likely to be suspected because late on the bandwagon is seen as more scummy than starting one in the first place. And if the mafia find themselves with more posts than the average town, it is safe to point out anyone as a lurker because their scumbuddy won't be on that list.
Then we have the dead guys talking and voting. That could mean they're scum, though I'm hard pressed to say who killed them. Would a host deliberately "kill" the mafia and make it their challenge to influence people with their dead votes? Seems too unbalanced to me. So would having townies still be able to vote after being killed, unless they were power roles to begin with.
My best guess is that one (or more) of the lurker hunters is scum. For that I'll go back to the voting patterns. The vote on Chaotix only got serious when we got most of the way through day and GH and Lewwyn both had votes. Don't know how to read Yaropolk -- dead and counted, or dead and not counted? Visorslash doesn't give me a negative vibe yet, but did follow a deader. I'm town but I can't expect you to believe me. So who voted late on that bandwagon, and are now hunting lurkers? It's a coin flip between GH and Lewwyn, and I see GH as being more helpful.
Vote: Lewwyn but I'm open to better evidence.
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