Peaceful Village [Concluded]

[Darth Feather]

Vote Ishmael

Jail: Tincow

Elect: Makrell

The sheriff is a useful ability, we shoud get to use it.

Ehmmm.... Makrell, I really don't think we should be electing today

[Diana Abnoba]

Umm, Makrell, we can't elect a new mayor until our old one is dead, not just jailed. . on you for not knowing that.

[rickinator9]

Elect: Makrell

The sheriff is a useful ability, we shoud get to use it.

The current major is still there... and he can't appoint a sheriff because we keep imprisoning him!

[Makrell]

I will contirnue to elect until it has effect.

Rules can and will be in Jaremas head, on that hour, i wish to be in the lead of the election.

[Diana Abnoba]

I should vote you just for giving me a headache with that logic, Makrell.

[White_eyes:D]

Well....I feel bad for TinCow we should let him go free.

​He's scum.

Bold Claim..you realize that if your wrong it would only buy you one more night?

I feel like working against town this game so why not?

Vote:Ishmael

[edse]

I'd say we let Tincow free on probation tomorrow. If he uses his moment of freedom to appoint a sheriff instead of killing, I see no reason not give him more freedom.

[Darth Feather]

I feel like working against town this game so why not?

Can I use that as a confession?

[White_eyes:D]

Can I use that as a confession?

That I feel like lynchbait so I am a little spiteful?

[Askthepizzaguy]

You should let Tincow roam free for a while, and lynch whoever White_eyes says to lynch next round.

Just for the luls. What are you afraid of?

[Jarema]

Rules can and will be in Jaremas head, on that hour, i wish to be in the lead of the election.

lol

[Visor]

lol

lol

[Jarema]

Lynch:
Andres (7): Diana Abnoba, LazyMcCrow, Ishmael, TinCow, HopAlongBunny, Rickinator, Chaotix
White Eyes (3): Darth Feather, Visorslash, Edse,
Ishmael (3): Andres, Makrell, White Eyes
Edse: Riedquat


Jail:
TinCow (12): Visorslash, Edse, Diana Abnoba, LazyMcCrow, Ferret, Ishmael, HopAlongBunny, Rickinator, Chaotix, Edse, Andres, Makrell,
Andres: TinCow

TinCow has been jailed, which surprised no one. And people decided to lynch Andres.

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

He was innocent

Another night begins

[HopAlongBunny]

Bah!
My perceptions seem a little hazy

[Diana Abnoba]

Andres you are the scummiest townie I know (well 2nd to Pizza that is)

TinCow, isn't it great being mayor.

[TinCow]

TinCow, isn't it great being mayor.

It certainly hasn't been what I expected it to be, I'll give it that.

[Askthepizzaguy]

This current plan, it no worky. It also bores me to death.... oh wait.

[Andres]

You lynched an innocent man!

[Visor]

Been AGES since I've had/wanted/needed to do analysis, and I don't have much better to do now, so I'll indulge in some for a brief time:

Rules:
After death, alignment will be revealed (town, mafia, serial killer, cult), BUT there will be at least one death miller (innocent person, who after death would appear to be mafia)

There would be one, two, or three (unlikely, only with more than 20 players) scum factions. It could be mafia, cult, or serial killer.

Possibility of SalmonSoil being a death miller (highly unlikely considering TC's vote). Now the TC thing is unfortunate for his team (and in general) but it isn't something we can ignore. If the mafia are willing to forego a kill for a long con on TC props to them, that is some ballsy play. But I highly doubt it. And with a serial killer already being revealed, and the mafia hitman being selected randomly via host, it is indeed possible that TC was the hitman. I'm more convinced with the SalmonSoil/Ishmael issue, but feel free to convince me otherwise, I'm always willing to listen if not necessarily follow.

In any case, the best assertion at this stage is to go forth with the assumption that TC and Salmon were scum (would coincides with votes, etc). In that case, voters on the Ishmael wagon (latecomers moreso) have more chance of being scum, and voters on the SS wagon early on have more chance of being town. Hence I've made a few predictions early. Another option that occurs to me is that possibility of a lurker being chosen as mafia hitman. But I don't think that's likely with the playerset and especially if Jarema would let others send in orders for the one person, after all it is simply a team kill through a vessel.

In anycase, proceeding with the above assumption leads to a few options:

Living players:
2. Darth Feather
5. LazyMcCrow
6. Makrell
7. Edse
8. White Eyes
9. Rickinator
10. HopAlongBunny
14. Diana Abnoba
15. TinCow - MAYOR
16. Johnhughtom

This leaves the major suspects. I doubt Chaotix and Scumquat and Elite Ferret are scum, no way would they want to bus a teammate if TC is scum. Chaotix being town is a shock surprise to most of you I imagine.

In any case this leaves a few suspects (well duh). JHT is probably discountable, IIRC he's doing something or other which has delayed his game on CFC, so I'll leave him alone for the moment.

I'll analyse the last two days for things I find suspicious.

[Visor]

Jail: Tincow
Vote: Diana Abnoba

The scum either seem to want to frame Tincow, Tincow is scum or there is a cult. Either way, I'm ok waiting this out. I think day 3 is a bit late for random votes.

This is something that shouts to me about scum and other unpleasant things, echoing our metallic bovine, I'd love some pressure applied here in the next day.

Jail: TinCow
Vote: Makrell

Repeating mistakes of history and all that. This sounds exactly like every makrell lynch ever (except the times he's actually scum).

Jail: TinCow obviously.

And i am tempted to vote Makrell, because he is making no sense whatsoever.

This also stinks a bit of scum, due to the tempted to vote makrell part, it helps builds bandwagons tempting does.

So far it has kept the peace in Peaceful Village

Jail: TinCow

No lynch vote iirc, interesting, though I will watch more before I say more.

Jail: TinCow less of a troublemaker this way.

Vote: Chaotix for.....picking on poor Salmonsoil.

Sounds very much like a scummy thing to say, and I doubt it is. It's a poor excuse for a save, and I doubt he's mafia after saying it.

Oh, for crying out loud...guys, I'm not particularly patient, either as town or mafia. As town, that explains why I feel that if jailing somebody permanently is a good idea, then lynching them is probably a better one, and allows us to fish around a bit more with our roleblock. As mafia, I most certainly wouldn't have the patience to spend two nights refraining from killing just to frame somebody (not to mention it seems an awful idea strategically).

Still, because TinCow clearly won't be lynched today, and because I don't feel like dying quite so soon after Visor's game,

unvote, vote: SalmonSoil

I actually understand your theory and it does have perks but with so many more lynches if they decide to play long con it is a lot easier on town.

[Visor]

Diana wouldn't surprise me as scum either, she seems to be following some of her scum tendencies.

In any case, I would imagine a 3-4 person mafia, with 1-2 people left unknown.

With the remaining players, I'll lower my list down.

2. Darth Feather
7. Edse
9. Rickinator
10. HopAlongBunny
14. Diana Abnoba

And out of these, only Rickinator and Diana really stand out, so they would be the targets I'd love to have a lynch on tomorrow, and the next the day after, Information is king in mafia, and these lynches even if not mafia will provide information based on in thread conversation.

Does anyone else disagree/agree on the targets, or have a better idea? I'm all ears.

[TheLastDays]

Either you've changed or these last three posts were way too helpful for towni Visor...

Lynch this guy

[Diana Abnoba]

Oh, Visor you always think I'm scum lately. You're wrong this time, again.

[Ferret]

Your wrong this time, again.

*You're

That settles it, Diana is mafia.

[TinCow]

Possibility of SalmonSoil being a death miller (highly unlikely considering TC's vote). Now the TC thing is unfortunate for his team (and in general) but it isn't something we can ignore. If the mafia are willing to forego a kill for a long con on TC props to them, that is some ballsy play. But I highly doubt it. And with a serial killer already being revealed, and the mafia hitman being selected randomly via host, it is indeed possible that TC was the hitman. I'm more convinced with the SalmonSoil/Ishmael issue, but feel free to convince me otherwise, I'm always willing to listen if not necessarily follow.

In any case, the best assertion at this stage is to go forth with the assumption that TC and Salmon were scum (would coincides with votes, etc). In that case, voters on the Ishmael wagon (latecomers moreso) have more chance of being scum, and voters on the SS wagon early on have more chance of being town. Hence I've made a few predictions early. Another option that occurs to me is that possibility of a lurker being chosen as mafia hitman. But I don't think that's likely with the playerset and especially if Jarema would let others send in orders for the one person, after all it is simply a team kill through a vessel.

This entire analysis is based on the notion that I am scum. I am not scum, therefore the analysis is faulty. I do not blame anyone for making this assumption, I sure as hell would do so if my situation was swapped with anyone else. That said, there is a way to prove this: lynch me. All of us are clearly tired with this jail game. If you lynch me, my role will be revealed and proper analysis can proceed from there. Lynching me also re-opens the mayoral spot, which means we can finally get a sheriff. Lynching me will also let me speak credibly again, which would be nice.

[HopAlongBunny]

I think it is time to get this baby moving!
Lynch the Cow (freeing up the Jail) and start cycling through the real suspects.

[Andres]

I think the mafia is getting extremely frustrated with their hitman being jailed night after night. And if it's part of their strategy, then it suits towns' interests very well. In that case, their own strategy is hurting them. If TC is innocent (unlikely, since he asks for his own lynch while keeping him in jail is clearly best for town), then I advice the mafia to swallow their pride and to admit their plan wasn't bright by starting to kill. Which would of course comfirm TC's innocence.Either way, the mafia are suffering, which is a very satisfying idea.Sorry if you're innocent, but keeping you jailed is the best for town, TC.

[Andres]

Also, FoS Hopalongbunny.Not voting for the lynch in the post quoted by Visor was a particularly scummy move + asking for TC's lynch, which isn't a good plan for town.Also, why should we lynch TinCow and then look for the real suspects? That implies TC isn't a real suspect. Why would we have to lynch him then?

[Chaotix]

I am torn between lynching TinCow already or just keeping him in jail for the entire game for the lulz.

Of course, what is the chance that he is the last scum? Normally I'd say 2 scum and a serial killer is enough for a game of this size. But on the other hand, if TinCow is the only one capable of killing, then I would definitely give the mafia team at least 3 members.

@Visorslash, I appreciate the analysis as I haven't been doing much of it myself. I think Diana is perhaps just lurking as usual, but she does that whether she's town or scum. Rickinator... is tough for me to get a read on. I honestly thought Andres was the right choice, and I'm somewhat surprised to see him innocent. White_eyes looks scummy to me, but that might be because I think he always looks scummy.

It is nice to not be in the suspect list for once, I must say... if it weren't for the fact that there seem to be no night kills I'd say I was next on the chopping block.

[TinCow]

Sorry if you're innocent, but keeping you jailed is the best for town, TC.

Fine, but don't say I didn't warn you. Someone PM me and wake me up when this game is over.