Has anyone ever seen an AI faction grow to be a major power? It seems that a lot of times, they grow too quickly and too suddenly and then run into food or money shortages and seem to just die out again. The biggest faction in my current campaign was Egypt, which controlled everything in the bottom right corner of the map, until they got into a war with my fearsome client state in Northern Africa and started falling apart.
One other thing that seems to be a lot more stable since Egypt is the Seleucid faction now, about 50 turns later although they really don't control a lot of territory themselves. They do have 8 or 9 satrapies though and seem to be happily ganging up on anyone who annoys them too much.
Macedon, Athen and Sparta have some sort of love triangle going on ever since they killed off Epirus but since then, they've had -a- war with whoever lives in Dacia and then someone in Illyria before it all died down again and since then nothing has been happening at all.
I guess by the time I get to the Eastern part of the map, they'll have had peace and prosperity for 150 years and have teched up to tanks and airplanes
Oh edit: I'm playing on hard with some battle mods and an otherwise vanilla game.
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