Well, it'll probably be overconfidence. Since Pizza is asking too, however, I can get also give my quick reasoning and impressions when I made that decision:
This is ATPG at his most villagery(From my limited experience): asking others opinions, and trying to tease out answers. I haven't played many games with him yet, but from what I have seen, there's a slight reservedness in his play when he isn't villaging, trying to step on as few toes as possible while still trying to give his usual style of analysis. I don't see that here yet.
I won't quote it, but his reads also didn't feel in any way altered, and he took a strong stand on his opinions. Since it's too early to tell if his opinions and votes are trying to steer people in directions for mafia means, however, I have to assume at the moment that he's a villager not worried about giving bad opinions or stepping on people's toes.
So, I gave a villager lean/read based off the info I have.
Separating the two ideas is fine. It's how you did it I had a problem with.
"As for serious post analysis"
The word choice of serious rubbed really wrong with me. I read it, and it gave a strong impression that the other part of the post was less serious and shouldn't be taken seriously. Like there might be something that would look incriminating that should be overlooked.
And when I looked back at the voting and viser's vote, it looks like it might have been a slight reactionary distancing, even if unintentional, of reasoning against Viser's gut vote. Thus, my vote. It's the thing that looked most out of place to me so far.
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