ISIS on the offensive in Iraq

[Brenus]

“1) to deploy in Syria a large force (having an experience of war in corresponding climate and terrain) for land operations;
2) to provide and sustain effective logistics thereof;
3) to watch Russian Muslims closely;
4) to prevent any terroristic attacks from Muslims (either local or foreign) within Russia.”
Really? ISIL has no army. They were successful just because the West let them be successful in having one of the stupidest policy for the last roughly 10 years . Do you really think that if the West would have put all its might on it, IS would still exist? ISIL is surrounded by enemies just ready to kill it. BTW, the Red Army was winning the war in Afghanistan, reason why the CIA decided to step in and to provide weapons to the Al-Qaida to come to stop the then Soviets to win.
2) Lol. Not really a problem to feed and equip 15,000 people. MSF and other Charities do it all the time (it is the equivalent of a very tiny refugee’s camp).
3) Re-lol. Chechen perhaps?
4) Re re lol.
The problem is, because you hate Putin, you try to convince your-self it is a very complex and difficult operation. Military speaking, it is not. All is in the political will.
Because USA and EU wanted to have first the skin of Assad, they didn’t put enough to defeat IS in order to gain it all later. Now, they started to feel the win of the bullet, as Iraq might call for Russians if they are successful in Syria. With Turkey playing the same game (Kurds are more a problem for Turkey than IS, as Turkish President, being a Islamist himself, thinks he can deal with ISIL. He is selling IS' oil for them. He just forgot, like the US in Afghanistan that if you want to have supper with the Devil, better to have a very long spoon).

“With current financial situation of Russia, too many bills to foot, to my mind.” Really? It is the same cost to have a Mig or Sukhoi 34 flying, or a T I don’t know the number to roll. Yeap, you might have to pay a little bit more the foot-soldiers, but it is just a margin. But again, we don’t speak of a massive army. And if it is a win, lot of weapons system to sell.
ISIL never face a modern Army willing to fight, and me thinking that they are probably hated in the region they control, and they will not defend their country as it is not their country. The Foreign volunteer who will not desert will soon discovered that they are not part of this part of the world, as much of them probably already know. They join IS because they wanted to be on the winning side, with the 4X4 car, sexual slaves at will and cool uniforms. Under real artillery barrage (and the Russian Army used to know to do really good ones), followed by advancing tanks and infantry, they might reconsider.

“As the Soviet experience in Afghanistan showed, one can never have a complete victory in a guerrilla war in such countries (both because of climate and terrain and because of the type of adversary they will face), especially if the borders of Syria can't be secured.” The Soviet defeat is, most of it, is a legend built by Western propaganda in order to match the USA defeat in Vietnam.
It is also a legend that you cannot win against a guerrilla, as several countries did exactly that.
ISIL is not the Vietcong/Vietminh.
The French did crush the Algerian guerrilla. It is due to the intelligence to the then French President Gal de Gaulle to give the independence for good political reasons.

“The latter as an independent branch of power is non-existent in Russia. It is like Putin has the backing of Putin.” Your opinion, not a fact backed by any real facts. All elections were recognised as fair by all international organisations. I could easily (and I do), say the same thing for the French Assembly that so far from the real population that more than 60 % of voters don’t go to vote. It is the George Carlin’s illusion of choice
https://youtu.be/rsL6mKxtOlQ


“Oh yes, this is a big victory - to have the world pay attention to you.” They tried hard not to do, and, well failed. Unfortunately for your country, you were the first to pay for this disdain.