I think Putin was sure Yanukovych was a dead political meat, that is why he did what he did. As for what would have happened if Mr Y had stayed in power - here we enter the realm of Mighthavebeenia. Choose your path in it to your liking.
I don't know - you live in Europe, you tell me how susceptible it is to his policies. The only thing I know is that France is in danger - Brenus watches RT.
The Crimean operation STARTED around February 20 (the exact date could be anything from 20 to 22). But the starting of the operation doesn't mean that on that very day some palpable results were achieved - perhaps some shipment started or spetznaz was ordered to get collected in location X (still on Russian territory) or some other prelimianry steps were initiated. Kyiv's awareness/unawareness of it couldn't have changed anything - Kyiv still had no means to counter it.
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