Ukraine Thread

[Husar]

I think Putin was sure Yanukovych was a dead political meat, that is why he did what he did. As for what would have happened if Mr Y had stayed in power - here we enter the realm of Mighthavebeenia. Choose your path in it to your liking.

So what was wrong about the timeline I posted then and what were these developments we know about now that we didn't know back then and how do they contradict that Putin hadn't occupied any parts of Ukraine at the time and only did so after it was clear that the government would change? A preparation can be taken back, but the actual deed only happened after the government changed.

The Crimean operation STARTED around February 20 (the exact date could be anything from 20 to 22). But the starting of the operation doesn't mean that on that very day some palpable results were achieved - perhaps some shipment started or spetznaz was ordered to get collected in location X (still on Russian territory) or some other prelimianry steps were initiated. Kyiv's awareness/unawareness of it couldn't have changed anything - Kyiv still had no means to counter it.

So we basically agree that PVC was wrong when he said Ukraine was partially occupied by foreign troops when the parliament voted Yanukovich out and the interim government was instated. I'm glad we solved that.