POTUS Election thread

[Sarmatian]

So is 538 the only one not biased or just plain off?

It doesn't have to either of those. Electoral college system really complicates stuff. Florida and North Carolina are tightly contested but together have 44 electoral votes. If support changes for half a point, it may change who actually wins the elections. Remember Bush vs. Gore, where basically a couple of hundred of votes from Florida decided who was going to be the president.

[Hooahguy]

Traditionally I think 538 just uses a more conservative calculation. We will know who is more correct on Wednesday.

[edyzmedieval]

5:38 project leader went on public TV (I think) and mentioned that Hillary is literally one swing state away from losing the Electoral College.

So this will be very very close.

[Hooahguy]

Because of how close this might be it might mean that we see another Trump-esq candidate appear for the 2020 election. The alt-right wont be driven out of the GOP unless they lose decisively.

[edyzmedieval]

FBI has cleared Hillary Clinton of any wrongdoing with the emails.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/07/us...ald-trump.html

[Seamus Fermanagh]

Because of how close this might be it might mean that we see another Trump-esq candidate appear for the 2020 election. The alt-right wont be driven out of the GOP unless they lose decisively.

They take the electability of much of the GOP with them when they leave. There are a few yahoos on the Trumpwagon, but many are just the politically frustrated.

[Seamus Fermanagh]

It doesn't have to either of those. Electoral college system really complicates stuff. Florida and North Carolina are tightly contested but together have 44 electoral votes. If support changes for half a point, it may change who actually wins the elections. Remember Bush vs. Gore, where basically a couple of hundred of votes from Florida decided who was going to be the president.

Quite correct. Final recount showed a gap of well under 2k votes. Had only a few thousand persons who were TRUE left wingers voted Gore instead of Bush, then the 21st century would be a good bit different.

[Pannonian]

Quite correct. Final recount showed a gap of well under 2k votes. Had only a few thousand persons who were TRUE left wingers voted Gore instead of Bush, then the 21st century would be a good bit different.

After chasing leads for over a decade, in 1984, the writer-politician Rupert Allason finally tracked down the legendary Agent Garbo, persuading Pujol to return to Europe in time for the 40th anniversary of the D Day landings, in which he played an integral part.

Always tip the waiter

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

At 2am on 2 May 1997 the Liberal Democrat Adrian Sanders was elected as MP for Torbay. This was after three recounts. Adrian had overcome the 5,787 majority of the sitting Conservative MP Rupert Allason and won by the narrow margin of 12 votes.

The story goes that Rupert had lost his seat because he failed to tip a local pub waitress a week before polling day. Fourteen Conservative-voting waiters then switched to the Liberal Democrats in protest... and Rupert lost by 12 votes.

[Seamus Fermanagh]

After chasing leads for over a decade, in 1984, the writer-politician Rupert Allason finally tracked down the legendary Agent Garbo, persuading Pujol to return to Europe in time for the 40th anniversary of the D Day landings, in which he played an integral part.

Always tip the waiter

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

At 2am on 2 May 1997 the Liberal Democrat Adrian Sanders was elected as MP for Torbay. This was after three recounts. Adrian had overcome the 5,787 majority of the sitting Conservative MP Rupert Allason and won by the narrow margin of 12 votes.

The story goes that Rupert had lost his seat because he failed to tip a local pub waitress a week before polling day. Fourteen Conservative-voting waiters then switched to the Liberal Democrats in protest... and Rupert lost by 12 votes.

Not quite sure of the Garbo link to this POTUS thread, but LOVED both tidbits.

[Viking]

I didn't even know I could vote, but I guess I have to start searching for my voting location tomorrow.

[Seamus Fermanagh]

I didn't even know I could vote, but I guess I have to start searching for my voting location tomorrow.

Don't worry, just find the nearest one to you, hop the pond, and exercise the franchise. Clinton will win and you will probably wind up with a path to citizenship.

[Hooahguy]

So, election day. It comes down to this. Cant wait for this to be over, its been helluva ride.