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Thread: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

  1. #1
    Strategist and Storyteller Member Myth's Avatar
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    Default Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    A Su 24 was shot down by Turkish F-16 fighters last night after supposedly breaching Turkish airspace. The Kremlin states that they are certain the plane was flying only over Syria. The two pilots catapulted, one is reputedly in the hands of the syrian rebels.
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    Upstanding Member rvg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Shit. This is bad, really bad.
    "And if the people raise a great howl against my barbarity and cruelty, I will answer that war is war and not popularity seeking. If they want peace, they and their relatives must stop the war." - William Tecumseh Sherman

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    Darkside Medic Senior Member rory_20_uk's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Expected by all sides I imagine - the current situation in Syria is a complete mess with different factions fighting different factions.

    All parties appear to be talking and so far no cruise missiles have been launched at Istambul or other similar acts of insanity.

    Russians tend to be hard-headed strategists and they have far more to gain by focussing on Syria and Ukraine than directly starting trouble with NATO.

    I imagine that the PKK might be getting more intel / supplies than up until now.


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    Member Member Crandar's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Yeah, Turkey is really oversensitive, when it comes to airspace violations. That's why they violate our airspace on a daily basis since the 90s, with the result of shot down aircraft and dead pilots.
    No sympathies for the Turkmen, almost all of them are Al-Nusra affiliates and have ethnically cleansed Northern Syria from religious minorities.

    One of the Russian pilots is dead. Be warned that a dead body is shown in the video:

    http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=425_1448360570

  5. #5

    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    What are they saying in the video? I caught "mujahideen" a few times...
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    Member Member Crandar's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    And some Allah u Akbars hear and there...

    Turkmeni rebels are mainly extremists. Not the softcore porn of FSA, but really extremists. Not officially integrated into Al-Nusra, but they are her most loyal allies.
    The Turkmens outside Syria (Uzbekis, Tajikis) are one of the most prominent recruitment pools of ISIL and Al-Nusra.

  7. #7
    Upstanding Member rvg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by Crandar View Post
    The Turkmens outside Syria (Uzbekis, Tajikis) are one of the most prominent recruitment pools of ISIL and Al-Nusra.
    Tajiks are not neither Turkish nor Turkmen in any way at all.
    "And if the people raise a great howl against my barbarity and cruelty, I will answer that war is war and not popularity seeking. If they want peace, they and their relatives must stop the war." - William Tecumseh Sherman

    “The market, like the Lord, helps those who help themselves. But unlike the Lord, the market does not forgive those who know not what they do.” - Warren Buffett

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    master of the pwniverse Member Fragony's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by rvg View Post
    Shit. This is bad, really bad.
    Not necesarily, Nato has no obligations if a member-state strikes first. This is Turkey's problem.

    They kinda deserve a problem lately.
    Last edited by Fragony; 11-24-2015 at 14:06.

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    Horse Archer Senior Member Sarmatian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Downing of a jet is a minor diplomatic issue. A dead body is what is problematic. If the plane was indeed in Syria, and the pilot murdered by the Turkmens, it could get ugly really quickly.

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    Member Member Crandar's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Both pilots are dead, machine-gunned by the Turkmens, while landing with their parachutes.
    Now, Putin will be forced to make a retaliatory act for symbolic and PR reasons, but I wouldn't expect anything excessive.

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    master of the pwniverse Member Fragony's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by Crandar View Post
    Both pilots are dead, machine-gunned by the Turkmens, while landing with their parachutes.
    Now, Putin will be forced to make a retaliatory act for symbolic and PR reasons, but I wouldn't expect anything excessive.
    I don't share your optimism, gunning down parachutees is a really unaccceptable war-crime, in a you just don't do that kinda way. This is going to be a developing story.

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    master of the pwniverse Member Fragony's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    That doesn't sound too bad, Crandar is probably right in expecting nothing exsessive
    Last edited by Fragony; 11-24-2015 at 15:43.

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    Darkside Medic Senior Member rory_20_uk's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by Fragony View Post
    I don't share your optimism, gunning down parachutees is a really unaccceptable war-crime, in a you just don't do that kinda way. This is going to be a developing story.
    War crime?

    They are soldiers who had not surrendered. They are fair game.

    An enemy that wishes to die for their country is the best sort to face - you both have the same aim in mind.
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attacks_on_parachutists

    Attacking persons parachuting from an aircraft in distress is a war crime under Protocol I in addition to the 1949 Geneva Conventions. However, it is not prohibited under this Protocol to open fire on airborne troops who are descending by parachutes, even if their aircraft is in distress.[1]
    How can you tell that an enemy combatant in the process of descent has surrendered?

    If they don't have a parachute.
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    Misanthropos Member I of the Storm's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    I guess this will have a lot of loud and aggressive diplomacy as a consequence, but Russia won't bomb Turkey, I'm quite sure.

    I'll be playing some more Fallout for practice, just in case my prediction is wrong...

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    Horse Archer Senior Member Sarmatian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    They won't bomb Turkey, but Turkmens just became fair game, which is gonna piss off Erdogan even more.
    Last edited by Sarmatian; 11-24-2015 at 18:34.

  18. #18
    Senior Member Senior Member Brenus's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    "They are soldiers who had not surrendered. They are fair game." Nope. They are the air equivalent of sailors abandoning sinking ships. War crime it is according to Article 42 of Protocol I of Geneva Conventions.

    We are living interesting times...
    Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. Voltaire.

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    "Yeah, lad. But I was holding the metal"
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    Darkside Medic Senior Member rory_20_uk's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Shot by rebels - not the state. I don't think that one can have "War crimes" without either a war or a defined enemy.

    An enemy that wishes to die for their country is the best sort to face - you both have the same aim in mind.
    Science flies you to the moon, religion flies you into buildings.
    "If you can't trust the local kleptocrat whom you installed by force and prop up with billions of annual dollars, who can you trust?" Lemur
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    Senior Member Senior Member Brenus's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    "Shot by rebels " Yeap. That is why Putin will be able to do whatever he well, if not want, can... And Turkey won't be happy.
    I wouldn't be surprised id the Kurds would finally received the heavy equipment they are crying for, and some AA missile for the next time Turkish bomber crossed the Iraqis' borders...
    Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. Voltaire.

    "I've been in few famous last stands, lad, and they're butcher shops. That's what Blouse's leading you into, mark my words. What'll you lot do then? We've had a few scuffles, but that's not war. Think you'll be man enough to stand, when the metal meets the meat?"
    "You did, sarge", said Polly." You said you were in few last stands."
    "Yeah, lad. But I was holding the metal"
    Sergeant Major Jackrum 10th Light Foot Infantery Regiment "Inns-and-Out"

  21. #21
    Upstanding Member rvg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by I of the Storm View Post
    I guess this will have a lot of loud and aggressive diplomacy as a consequence, but Russia won't bomb Turkey, I'm quite sure.

    I'll be playing some more Fallout for practice, just in case my prediction is wrong...
    Russians also lost a rescue chopper to the rebel fire... and they keep insisting that the plane was shot down in Syrian airspace. This has serious potential of getting very ugly.
    "And if the people raise a great howl against my barbarity and cruelty, I will answer that war is war and not popularity seeking. If they want peace, they and their relatives must stop the war." - William Tecumseh Sherman

    “The market, like the Lord, helps those who help themselves. But unlike the Lord, the market does not forgive those who know not what they do.” - Warren Buffett

  22. #22
    Member Member Crandar's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    The aircraft was shot down in Syria, that's something that is even admitted by the War Ministry of Erdogan. Their claim is that they launched the missile, when the Russians dared to violate their precious airspace for seven seconds.

    Quote Originally Posted by rory_20_uk View Post
    Shot by rebels - not the state. I don't think that one can have "War crimes" without either a war or a defined enemy.

    Rebels are the officially recognized representatives of Syria by the West.
    Therefore, they are going to be punished rightfully according to their fanboys and not so rightfully but much more enjoyably by their enemies.

    It's a pity, the Turkmens were such gentlemen:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessab
    Last edited by Crandar; 11-24-2015 at 21:07.

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    Iron Fist Senior Member Husar's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    I'm sorry but I'm laughing because this is completely retarded.
    And people wonder why I'd rather run away than fight in a conflict spawned by such retardedness...


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  24. #24
    Upstanding Member rvg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by Crandar View Post
    If the Turkish missile was launched after the Russian plane left Turkish airspace, then this is a casus belli.
    "And if the people raise a great howl against my barbarity and cruelty, I will answer that war is war and not popularity seeking. If they want peace, they and their relatives must stop the war." - William Tecumseh Sherman

    “The market, like the Lord, helps those who help themselves. But unlike the Lord, the market does not forgive those who know not what they do.” - Warren Buffett

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    Horse Archer Senior Member Sarmatian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by Brenus View Post
    "Shot by rebels " Yeap. That is why Putin will be able to do whatever he well, if not want, can... And Turkey won't be happy.
    I wouldn't be surprised id the Kurds would finally received the heavy equipment they are crying for, and some AA missile for the next time Turkish bomber crossed the Iraqis' borders...
    That would really make it interesting.

    First reaction from other NATO countries is - we're washing our hands off this, it's Turkey's problem. We'll see how it goes.

    Quote Originally Posted by rory_20_uk View Post
    Shot by rebels - not the state. I don't think that one can have "War crimes" without either a war or a defined enemy.

    In the nineties, NATO maintained that all Serbian rebels in Bosnia in Croatia could be tried for war crimes if committed. Also leadership of Serbia proper. Even though those were three separate political organizations, US/NATO argued that they were supported and instructed by Belgrade and that by extension, Serbian leaders were all guilty.

    Applying that standard, Erdogan is a war criminal.

    Quote Originally Posted by rvg View Post
    If the Turkish missile was launched after the Russian plane left Turkish airspace, then this is a casus belli.
    I'm pretty sure there's no way to determine if the missile was launched within the 7 seconds Russian airplane was in Turkish airspace. Which is probably good, as it allows Russia a face saving excuse not to push it. If it were possible to confirm that, Russia would be pressured to react more strongly.


    Interesting conspiracy theory is that Turkey is especially angry as Russian planes are routinely destroying oil transports and refineries, and Turkey, together with Gulf states, is the main outlet for ISIS/Al Nusra oil.

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  26. #26
    Voluntary Suspension Voluntary Suspension Philippus Flavius Homovallumus's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    I was going write something about an automated missile, then I remembered this plan was shot down by F-16's in air-to-air combat. Or air-to-air shanking, if you prefer.

    So now I'm thinking the Russians were probably warned that they were approaching Turkish Airspace and decided to thumb the Turks by just skimming through it, and the Turks fired. It's entirely possible that the missile could have been launched within that 7-second time frame, at which point it was probably brown trousers all around.

    The Russians have been playing silly sods with everyone else's air-space for a while now, it was just a matter of time before someone shot one of their planes down, and whilst the European powers might say "They didn't actually cross into our airspace, honest guv," the Turks appear less inclined to mess about.

    I hear a Russian marine died during the recovery op, too. So, the rebels are clearly morons if they thought they could get away with this. On the other hand, we have Russian planes in a war zone supporting the enemies of the guys we're supporting in the same warzone...

    So - Now that WWIII is in the offing what regiment are you guys thinking?

    I'm hoping for SigInt but I'd take artillery. Fingers crossed I get posted to the Romanian Front, pretty girls, good food everything's cheap if you're paid in Sterling.
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  27. #27
    master of the pwniverse Member Fragony's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    What they say is their airspace isn't internationally recognised, it's a zone of 5 kilometers they say it's theirs. Turkey is in trouble diplomatcly and it really wouldn't have to be that way. Really stupid action.

  28. #28
    Misanthropos Member I of the Storm's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    IMO it's an unwise overreaction. Looking at the flightpath the SU was taking a shortcut of 7 seconds over that little appendix of turkish airspace protruding into Syria, while probably being in a combat situation.

    Would've been better to just let it go and call in the russian ambassador afterwards. Moral high ground etc.

    Fortunately, I'm too old for front line duty. Unless things go bad quickly and we'll have to reinstitute the Volkssturm...

  29. #29
    master of the pwniverse Member Fragony's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Quote Originally Posted by I of the Storm View Post
    IMO it's an unwise overreaction. Looking at the flightpath the SU was taking a shortcut of 7 seconds over that little appendix of turkish airspace protruding into Syria, while probably being in a combat situation.

    Would've been better to just let it go and call in the russian ambassador afterwards. Moral high ground etc.

    Fortunately, I'm too old for front line duty. Unless things go bad quickly and we'll have to reinstitute the Volkssturm...
    That airspace isn't even theirs, it isn't internationallu recognised as such, Turkey just claims it is theirs but it isn't. Turkey is in trouble, Russia doesn't play nice

  30. #30
    Horse Archer Senior Member Sarmatian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Russian military jet downed by Turkey

    Russia says all of its bombers will be flying with fighter escort and missile cruiser Moskva will be actively deployed to counter any threats, in addition to more land based AA.

    There may be a few F16 downed if Turkey tries to repeat this.

    Quote Originally Posted by Fragony View Post
    That airspace isn't even theirs, it isn't internationallu recognised as such, Turkey just claims it is theirs but it isn't. Turkey is in trouble, Russia doesn't play nice
    I've never heard this. Where did you read that?
    Last edited by Sarmatian; 11-25-2015 at 10:34.

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