That's just bad news for the rest of the Arab states. Iran blew their cover right after the execution of Nimr.
It’s a radical regime with radical roots and those types’ appetite for aggression often become boundless. It once seemed that they were mainly focused on stabilizing the region but all they’ve been doing is filling vacuums and restricting the breathing space of Saudi Arabia and its allies.
This is the most ambitious state in the region. Rouhani, sitting at dinner with a Kuwaiti official, once said something along the lines of that it’ll be easy to embrace the Gulf countries and they’ll be easily digested just like this bastani (Persian ice cream.)
- Violated the sovereignty of Al Khalifa in Bahrain during the Arab Spring. This revolution was completely ruined for Shia as a result of Iran associating themselves with them while at the same time claiming Bahrain to be their “fourteenth province”
- Smuggling weapons, spy cells in Kuwait for the past two or so years
- Qassim Suleimani threatening Saudi Arabia after the execution of Nimr. Despite Nimr being a non-violent dissident (perhaps even a reasonable one), it’s nonetheless a national security matter that Iran has nothing to do with just as much as Saudi Arabia has nothing to do with the Sunni or Arab dissidents in Iran
- Occupation of Iraq and dedicating its economy in service to the Islamic Republic, supporting Assad and making Hezbollah (which was initially a resistance movement) into a transnational monster
- Their nuclearization is likely going to set a chain reaction in a region with paranoid regimes
The only way to reach a settlement would be for Iran to stop the aggression and stop its overstretched imperialism. Start cooperating with the Gulf as it’s already doing with Oman or Dubai for example, where they have over 9000 companies and way over $200bn in assets. They owe the creation of their middle class and their social progressiveness to the Gulf so it’s time to act like it.
I'm not too sure they'll respect the deal.
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