AFAIK, this "gentlemen's agreement" was concluded with NATO, not the EU. And for the last 2 years Russia hasn't made much progress in "doing something" to Ukraine. Your ideas of causes and consequences are beyond any criticism.
And if we adopt your viewpoint, it is the Neyherlands that are fucked up: the Nexit party has lost the elections and your are doomed to stay within the EU under the yoke of Brussels, so it is for you that the prospects aren't that bright.
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