While those five are important, we can't dismiss the rest of the world. Nigeria could very well have more people than the US by end of the century. As more people in Africa, SE Asia and SA move up the tiers of income, their energy needs will increase and it is just as important they are scaling with clean energy.

Europe seems to be well on track already, let's call that area's goals "promising": https://twitter.com/_HannahRitchie/s...72408461369345

Russia will be the last to change for sure. I don't know anything about Indian politics, the push on coal for cheap widespread electricity could very well be a poor attempt by Modi to keep his popularity after pissing off all the farmers. When are the next elections?

Japan has clear path forward to transition, I'm not sure what the hold up is besides Fukushima throwing a wrench in their short term plans. Tbh if population trends continue I think they will see something like a 50% reduction in total population by 2100 in which case they wouldn't be emitting much assuming they haven't already hit carbon neutrality by then.

Reductions are the most important thing right now, but I have no doubt carbon removal and sequestration technologies will be developed/deployed by any and all countries who start to feel the strain of climate change. It is going to be wild seeing the shit people try.