Oh, since there's a day vig, I can't sit on this any more:

Our faction has strong reason to believe Al Sipsclar is not affiliated with the Royalists. Not only did he suspect Kagemusha while we were discussing vig targets, but he's the one I got to kill Monstrdude. The fact that both kills went through means he probably cannot be involved at all.

It's not a scan of any kind, it's just reasoning, offered freely. You may disagree with it but I'm almost 100 percent sure this is sound.