I think Pizza is pretty strongly town, and think people voting for Novice sans Pizza all have decent wolf equity. I don't have a town read on Manasi, so I'd rather lynch her than the people who are more likely town.
Rocket science it isn't.
The problem is that it's two men enter one man leave mode now with Pizza v Novice. It wastes another day phase not to commit to even an info lynch on a Novice flip.
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