Chess - Game Thread [Concluded]

[Kagemusha]

Ok. What we know?

We know Logic flipped scum. Also we learned that there were 4 scum in the game.Now 3 left. First round the scum had 25% of the lynch votes. Would they have used those during day 1 when usually cases are very light? My opinion yes.

If we look at the Choxorn counter wagon against Logic at its peak:

Vote count:

Pizza (1): Manasi

Zack (1): Xiahou

Logic (5): Pizza, Dp101, Slaan, Choxorn, Kagemusha

Reinoe (1): Fredwood

El Barto (1): Csargo

Choxorn (6): Montmorency, Zack, GH, Winston Hughes, Reinoe, Logic

Xiahou (1): El Barto


Not voting (1): Cuthillius,

With 17 players there are 9 to hammer.


If we accept that mafia had its hand in the counter wagon. These are the people who were voting Choxorn at that point:

Montmorency, Zack, GH, Winston Hughes, Reinoe, Logic



Logic we know was scum. Monty started the wagon thus would have taken a rather large risk at initiating it, when for scum easier would be to find a good candidate and hop along. Winston flipped back to Logic with convincing argument. So we are left with:

Zack,GH,Reinoe


I think it is safe to assume that this is not the full mafia team, as it would have been awful play to set all their eggs in one basket. Its possible, but not likely.

From this fellowship. It was GH who hopped in the wagon with basically zero reasoning. So based on that seeing what GH flips will give us maximum amount of information as for example at the start he had a weak case against Cuth, which he never really drove home and flipped easily away from it to Choxorn. It was also Cuth who chatted with Logic before the game really started, basic stuff for scum. So flipping GH next can give us maximum amount of information in case he flips scum. If GH flips scum. Cuth is obvious continuity and if our luck keeps running the mafia team has been almost wiped out at that point.

Town has now great momentum and based on the silence of the thread the scum team are not happy campers at the moment. I know some might suggest that we should flip Zack or Reinoe before GH, but with KISS principle. The more simple solution to the problem we can find more likely it is the correct one.

Last point if i die tonight. I think something that should be looked at more carefully would be the Bussing of DP101 and not take anything by face value. Was that bussing dangerous to anyone and what did it achieve?

[Kagemusha]

Im sorry if im not coherent enough. I drove 7 hours in a rain and half of it in the darkness, so im bit tired. I am happy to answer any questions about anything for couple hours.