Quote Originally Posted by Hooahguy View Post
Bernie definitely profits from a divided "moderate" field. Less than 4,000 votes separated Bernie and Pete in NH. Bloomberg got almost 5,000 votes even though he wasnt even on the ballot. Had those people voted for Pete, he would have won. Or if Steyer's folk (all 10k of them) voted for Pete.. If Bernie does win the nomination, it will be because people like Steyer who despite polling really low are still in the race because of vanity.

I think we are going to see exactly what happened to the GOP in 2016 happen again. Trump in the 2016 primary had a plurality and that is what I imagine will repeat itself.
According to the Yougov poll I've referred to a couple of times, source of the charts above, Warren beats every candidate in a head-to-head and ties Sanders. Same with Sanders (though he ties Biden in a head-to-head). Buttigieg and Klobuchar get swamped. If Sanders does well up to Super Tuesday then there may no longer be much of a moderate vote to consolidate around any survivor (except, ideally, Warren).

But fuck, Bloomberg hired himself a good team. Watch this ad (I wish we could embed Twitter videos).
https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/st...69357471551488