Correct, but the logic relies on the existence of robust temperature readings and should acknowledge future effects of nomination and campaigning to be pragmatic. Have pre-election season polls ever been empirically validated for predictive value?
Imagine the irony of mourning the loss of electable Joe Biden because Democrats won't vote for him. (And his candidacy, btw, smothered the clearly superior Harris, Booker, etc. in the cradle).
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