
Originally Posted by
GeneralHankerchief
Well, look at it empirically. PZelda wasn't around. Barto was... doing whatever that was. That's two of the (presumed) four who weren't really having much of an impact at EOD.
Let's say the third was Egix just for argument's sake. Egix's last post of D1 was this, with an hour and 40 minutes before the lynch:
He moved off Monty to ladd, both of whom I have as town, at a time when PZelda was starting to pick up momentum.
(here's the tally 45 minutes before the Egix vote, not quite up to date at the time of the vote, but should give you a decent picture + movement to Pzelda:)
So Egix was trying to get a town lynched.
That leaves the fourth. It's looking like it's between PZelda, Choxorn, and Barto. ladd was kind of in contention but I personally don't really think that he was ever in serious danger there, simply because too many people, myself included, wanted to give him a day out of respect for his solving skills. In a situation like this, where you have mafia/mafia/town (presumed) wagons, and one of your other partners is already on town, what do you do?
1 Montmorency (Pzelda,)
4 El Barto (Zack, Cuth, Csargo, Monty)
5 PZelda (Insaner, Dya, GH, Fable, ladd)
1 Newyn (Choxorn)
3 Ladd (Logic, Egix, merl1n)
1 Insaner (El Barto)
2 Choxorn (Empoof, Newyn)
I'm not coloring in my leans, only the exact flips so far.
Barto and PZelda were spread out. Egix was on ladd. Do you bunch up on ladd, try for Choxorn, or just bus?
Most of my not-Egix POE are spread out, so I can't think of a good answer. Newyn's in the "try for the town that your other partner not in danger isn't trying for" camp on Choxorn. Csargo could be bussing Barto. dya could be bussing PZelda. You could be doubling up on ladd trying to make sure a townie goes down. Not really sure we can get a full picture with what we know so far, there are too many possible people and too many unknowns at present.
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