Coronavirus / COVID-19

[Viking]

Regarding countries were things are going well, here is an update to the graph I posted some time ago. Hospitalizations in Norway due to SARS-2 are legitimately plunging:




Here is the same data at the level of individual hospitals and health organisations, showing no major deviation from the general trend. The three top curves belong to entities in the greater capital region:



(source: Norwegian Directorate of Health)

The curve is not just being flattened, it is being squashed. This is achieved without curfews and with face masks hardly used by anyone in public.

I think some of the most important contributors to this result have been to cancel all major public events, get people away from public transport and out of the offices, and otherwise keeping the levels of socialisation lower than normal.

[Furunculus]

This is all true in its narrow terms, but a stamped curve speaks nothing to the total damage these nations will face over the next few years in terms of direct covid damage from deaths, and indirect damage from rolling lockdowns, lost economic potential, and labour market hysteresis.

hot takes are of little use here, come back in two years.

[ReluctantSamurai]

hot takes are of little use here, come back in two years

Holy shit, that says it all. I guess there's nothing else to say....

[Furunculus]

Holy shit, that says it all. I guess there's nothing else to say....

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=...&v=bfN2JWifLCY

we might all be headed to the same place in the two years it takes to roll out a mass vaccination plan.

what matters:
you keep new cases below the threshold your health service can cope with.
you minimize the medium/long term economic damage.

those nations that do better in these two measures will eat the others lunch.