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Thread: POTUS/General Election Thread 2020 + Aftermath

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  1. #19
    Senior Member Senior Member ReluctantSamurai's Avatar
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    Default Re: POTUS Election Thread 2020

    Persuadable voters have long been persuaded by now, and the cohort that remains - maybe as little as 1% of people who vote - are habitual late deciders because they have no coherent ideology or grasp of issues; their vote, if at all, is decided by essentially random stimuli at the last minute.
    Even if 1% is accurate (far too low an estimate, IMHO), that means, using voter turnout numbers in 2016, that about 1.4 million voters are 'late deciders'. Even not considering how those who didn't vote at all impacted the 2016 election, a look at the 10 closest races from 2016:

    https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run-...-2016-election

    Adding up the margin of difference for the entire list of ten, the number comes to 585,319. So in 2016, your 'late deciders' could have carried 10 states and then some.

    I think it's a safe bet to say that SCOTUS will be deciding the outcome of the presidential election in 2020

    all I can say with confidence about its media representation to the public is that it would certainly take command of the discourse in the way you'd like. The quality of the effects themselves is more debatable.
    Not suggesting that Dems go all King Leonidas (though the imagery of Kamala Harris giving the nod, and Biden kicking Trump into the Abyss is enticing). As an example, NOW Biden is going to Kenosha, AFTER Trump has already been there. Now it's still possible Biden/Harris gain some gravitas if they meet personally (and sincerely) with the Blake family, and just as importantly, with leaders of the protests. But they should have already been there.
    Last edited by ReluctantSamurai; 09-03-2020 at 05:26.
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