POTUS/General Election Thread 2020 + Aftermath

[Montmorency]

They delayed counting the absentee ballots in the New York Democratic primary, originally July 1, now set to begin 2 weeks after election day (June 23) fhsdgegagahrgek

November is going to be pure sex in this country.

Granted that New York is neither a battleground state nor has extensive experience handling mail ballots, but I wonder how the midwestern and southern states that matter will operationalize.

On an interesting note from available non-mail returns, a substantial proportion of the ballot decisions on the presidential primary left the party delegate section blank (on the New York ballot you vote for the candidate and for the delegates who would vote for them at the DNC). I can't comment on the significance of that since for all I know it happens that way every presidential primary, but it does suggest to me a measure of contempt for the system of voting both for party candidates (directly) and for party electors pledged to vote for those candidates at the party convention.


White House Trade and Manufacturing Policy director and assistant to the president Navarro with the white supremacy foghorn
https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1279142640055812096 [VIDEO]

Navarro: They spawned the virus, they hid the virus, they send hundreds of thousands of Chinese nationals over here to seed and spread the virus

[a completely inoffensive name]

The GOP elites may very well be pressuring Trump, but it is a bluff and one that even Trump should be able to see.

[Hooahguy]

They delayed counting the absentee ballots in the New York Democratic primary, originally July 1, now set to begin 2 weeks after election day (June 23) fhsdgegagahrgek

November is going to be pure sex in this country.

Granted that New York is neither a battleground state nor has extensive experience handling mail ballots, but I wonder how the midwestern and southern states that matter will operationalize.

On an interesting note from available non-mail returns, a substantial proportion of the ballot decisions on the presidential primary left the party delegate section blank (on the New York ballot you vote for the candidate and for the delegates who would vote for them at the DNC). I can't comment on the significance of that since for all I know it happens that way every presidential primary, but it does suggest to me a measure of contempt for the system of voting both for party candidates (directly) and for party electors pledged to vote for those candidates at the party convention.

I have a feeling that we might not know who won the election for a week at least after especially in states where it might be very close like Florida or Pennsylvania.

[Seamus Fermanagh]

I believe Santoris should ask for special funding to set up the re-count and pay for it NOW -- it is foregone that it will be required.



I am predicting Trump takes Florida by fewer than 10k.


Damnit.

[a completely inoffensive name]

I am predicting Trump takes Florida by fewer than 10k.
Damnit.

Why? Biden is showing a great lead. The two latest polls that show a more even matchup are both rated C- by 538. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...neral/florida/
A- polls show Biden with a clear lead.

[ReluctantSamurai]

I'll be far more interested in what the polls in Florida have to say in early August when the death toll from the current COVID wildfire there gets logged

[Seamus Fermanagh]

I'll be far more interested in what the polls in Florida have to say in early August when the death toll from the current COVID wildfire there gets logged

So far, the toll is falling heaviest among Dem districts. Though there are a lot of "purple" swaths in Florida.

[Montmorency]

So far, the toll is falling heaviest among Dem districts. Though there are a lot of "purple" swaths in Florida.

Very interesting cohort survey that suggests the toll of CV19 on a county is correlated with reductions of support for Donald Trump, also implicating the increasingly-evident shift among older Americans.

When the vast majority of new cases are coming out of red states, or even red counties, and concentrated in swing states like Florida, Arizona, and *gulp* Texas, then Trump has a lot to worry about this summer.