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There is no possible solution of this conflict because each party uses one of the two basic principles of international politics. Azerbaijan appeals to the inviolability of borders and integrity of the country and Armenia to the right of the nations for self-determination. These principles here are at odds hence no legally unimpeachable solution looming.
Dictatorship is rarely a long-term good. The supply of Bernadotte's is limited.
Originally Posted by Montmorency:
Ultimately this war was not a good development unless it can somehow seed a permanent peace, which I doubt because the populations of both countries are very nationalistic, domestic rulers respond to that whether they want to or not, both are militarily vulnerable to one another (though objectively Azerbaijan less so), and foreign powers have a stake in the competition.
Foreign powers don't have a stake in the competition. The conflict is definitely embarrassing for the US, but the same is now true for Russia, which enjoys good relations with both parties. That wasn't the case in the early '90s, when Russia actually added fuel to the flames, but the situation has changed considerably since then. In my opinion, the result of the 2020 hostilities has the prospects of easing up tensions. It was sealed by a peace agreement, according to which, the stronger side, achieved most of its goals and largely conciliating the de jure with the de facto situations. Nationalists on both camps will get salty, but they will never be satisfied and, if tensions do indeed deescalate, fervour will decline accordingly.Ultimately this war was not a good development unless it can somehow seed a permanent peace, which I doubt because the populations of both countries are very nationalistic, domestic rulers respond to that whether they want to or not, both are militarily vulnerable to one another (though objectively Azerbaijan less so), and foreign powers have a stake in the competition.
Anyway, an interesting article about how grossly Yerevan miscalculated. Ain't gonna lie, when you are diplomatically isolated and economically/militarily weaker, behaving so provocatively isn't a very astute move.
Originally Posted by Crandar:
That wasn't the case in the early '90s, when Russia actually added fuel to the flames, but the situation has changed considerably since then.
If selling weapons to both parties to the conflict is short of adding fuel to the fire, then...That wasn't the case in the early '90s, when Russia actually added fuel to the flames, but the situation has changed considerably since then.
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