I’m sorry, Ibn. Alright, I see. My current PoE -
Csargo being mech-cleared has saved us lots of hardship, that's fantastic. Laurentus is as close to being fully cleared as I can put him, his behavior and his derp-supported absence D/N1 (which I wouldn’t consider him faking) when there were kills both from the wolves and from the SK puts him in a very good position from my perspective. If I can trust any credibility I have as someone who's played with him and observed him many times, he's town.
As for Winston, unfortunately, this is a thing:
So Winston isn't technically completely cleared. (Please read the original quote and following pzelda quotes on the next page for full context) Apparently I haven't been understanding pzelda's ability correctly, and availed myself of checking out what had actually been claimed. I still can't shake my suspicions of Winston from D1, but "as little as half as reliable" as stated from pzelda's role-flip implies 50% as the minimum chance to get a correct answer, so I suppose Winston is still more likely town than not. Many have been town-reading him for reasons that as of yet remain unclear to me, but on the basis of meta alone I can admit that grounding from players experienced with him point in his favor. I seem to be the only one who's wanted to push him for any good reason and I know I'm wrong a lot. In conclusion: I don't want him as a wagon at all today, but check out the interaction data from the flip just in case for sure.
Granting that most suggestions and evidence that has been brought up regarding who the SK might be has pointed almost exclusively to HK, I feel relatively confident based on that and PoE putting him as the likeliest one to be the SK.
This means that as a result of PoE, I am led to the conclusion that the wolves are most likely to be Dolby and BP. I'm rather shocked, from my perspective Dolby has had an incredible tone and what I felt to be overall great content, and I now have greater respect for his abilities. It leaves a slightly bitter taste in my mouth, but I guess there's always someone who's gonna fool you badly. Dolby and BP makes the greatest sense from Dolby's shielding angle from the start of D1 and onward, and Borg’s unwillingness to vote Dolby now. This HK push towards Dolby also makes me think HK/Dolby are more unlikely to be w/w.
The way I see it, BP and HK are always bad though, and I want one of those two as our consensus. I've got several problems with BP's latest post, but I'm too tired to fully research and debate that right now. The obvious problems though are I'm innocent, and that it's LYLO, look at the player list and run the calcs, I don't think there's a way we win if we mislynch unless the SK takes out a wolf and the wolves take out the SK, which I don't see happening, LYLO could indicate that the SK or the wolves could pull out a double-kill again
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